← Strategy Research Lab
Experiment log · GP

Searching for profit that survives costs

1,105,920 unique configurations in this batch; 352 finalists received full and recent stress replays. Starting cash: ৳100,000. Data through 2026-10-13. Compute: local connected computer.

Full historical period: 2009-11-16 → 2026-10-13 (16.9 years). Selected finalist annualized return: -18.9%. This annualized figure describes the historical raw-price simulation.

All settings were tested for 6 fixed rule sets in the declared grid. The maximum is proven only within that finite historical grid. Full and recent-period results were used to select finalists, so those returns are in-sample. No global maximum across all possible strategies has been established. Corporate-action adjustments remain incomplete.

Verified finite search

Does the winner survive small changes?

Grid maximum NAV৳443,253
Nearby profitable settings25/25
Neighbour median NAV৳376,531
One extra session delay৳260,512

Stops and maximum holding periods varied by ±10% and ±20%. 25/25 nearby settings also had positive recent stress returns. Nearby full-history NAV ranged from ৳262,794 to ৳443,253. This is parameter sensitivity on the same historical data, not independent validation.

1× modeled trading costs৳443,253
1.5× modeled trading costs৳408,239
2× modeled trading costs৳377,450
3× modeled trading costs৳322,271

1,105,920 grid accounts and 352 detailed finalist ledgers checked. Reconciliation failures: 0.

Choose profit with more trades

Jump to the highest historical NAV that meets a minimum completed-position count. The saved frontier covers this trade-off.

Profit versus completed positions

Each dot is a finalist. Horizontal = full-history completed positions; vertical = full-history net return. Select a dot to inspect it.

0% return343.3% net return0 positions465 positions

Teal: positive recent stress return. Rose: zero or negative recent stress return.

The trade count–profit frontier

These 72 grid candidates cannot be beaten on both historical NAV and completed positions by another grid candidate. More positions often reduce profit.

Compare every trade-off and open its fills
Completed positionsFull-history NAVRecent stress NAVInspect
465৳479৳19,237Rules & trades →
459৳570৳19,289Rules & trades →
455৳608৳30,525Rules & trades →
454৳696৳29,045Rules & trades →
452৳696৳19,289Rules & trades →
415৳713৳19,289Rules & trades →
411৳717৳19,289Rules & trades →
405৳1,133৳19,289Rules & trades →
404৳1,549৳19,289Rules & trades →
402৳1,771৳19,289Rules & trades →
372৳2,015৳19,289Rules & trades →
371৳2,622৳19,289Rules & trades →
363৳2,910৳19,289Rules & trades →
343৳2,924৳20,089Rules & trades →
335৳3,181৳47,792Rules & trades →
333৳4,607৳37,882Rules & trades →
329৳5,476৳37,882Rules & trades →
313৳5,574৳30,360Rules & trades →
310৳6,173৳43,102Rules & trades →
303৳8,989৳39,010Rules & trades →
300৳9,801৳38,916Rules & trades →
295৳12,981৳32,156Rules & trades →
292৳13,676৳41,873Rules & trades →
260৳13,883৳26,610Rules & trades →
259৳15,710৳26,610Rules & trades →
257৳15,781৳30,307Rules & trades →
256৳16,033৳45,581Rules & trades →
255৳19,080৳30,307Rules & trades →
208৳20,877৳36,159Rules & trades →
198৳22,131৳53,195Rules & trades →
196৳25,143৳33,095Rules & trades →
187৳33,566৳58,245Rules & trades →
186৳34,489৳53,071Rules & trades →
167৳35,171৳40,802Rules & trades →
165৳37,440৳37,845Rules & trades →
161৳42,263৳74,918Rules & trades →
158৳44,043৳78,126Rules & trades →
157৳53,519৳74,918Rules & trades →
154৳56,264৳44,128Rules & trades →
153৳62,778৳49,942Rules & trades →
147৳65,022৳64,084Rules & trades →
137৳73,649৳47,943Rules & trades →
136৳78,632৳50,001Rules & trades →
135৳80,826৳50,473Rules & trades →
129৳99,944৳52,622Rules & trades →
128৳100,941৳52,622Rules & trades →
119৳100,995৳43,038Rules & trades →
118৳101,946৳46,575Rules & trades →
117৳110,155৳49,557Rules & trades →
103৳133,375৳48,996Rules & trades →
102৳136,102৳55,284Rules & trades →
101৳138,379৳53,456Rules & trades →
98৳145,520৳54,043Rules & trades →
79৳150,242৳115,900Rules & trades →
78৳159,180৳120,816Rules & trades →
77৳160,935৳120,816Rules & trades →
76৳161,019৳120,816Rules & trades →
74৳181,538৳116,988Rules & trades →
73৳199,142৳121,853Rules & trades →
60৳200,452৳118,366Rules & trades →
48৳211,201৳128,871Rules & trades →
44৳221,072৳119,591Rules & trades →
39৳242,605৳130,354Rules & trades →
38৳272,593৳130,354Rules & trades →
37৳278,807৳126,439Rules & trades →
33৳291,973৳126,422Rules & trades →
32৳298,043৳122,630Rules & trades →
25৳341,394৳127,207Rules & trades →
24৳389,702৳129,084Rules & trades →
22৳402,891৳133,960Rules & trades →
17৳411,464৳119,509Rules & trades →
15৳443,253৳124,915Rules & trades →

#324 · MACD

Full-history NAV৳2,920

Net return -97.1% · drawdown 97.1% · 309 closed positions

2024 onward NAV৳41,812

Net return -58.2% · drawdown 58.2% · 58 closed positions

2024 stress NAV৳27,144

Net return -72.9% · drawdown 72.9% · 42 closed positions

Variant 1; fixed stop 6.0%; maximum 15 sessions; gate None; continuous signal; exit EMA 200 break; trailing arms at 2.0%, distance 1.0%; partial sale at 0.0% (0 = off).

Account reconciliation

Cash৳34
Unsettled৳2,885
Holdings৳0
NAV৳2,920
Realized P&L৳-97,080
Unrealized P&L৳0
Fees৳68,040
Friction৳31,284

NAV = cash + unsettled proceeds + marked holdings. Maximum reconciliation error: ৳6.55e-11. Normal replay: 0.44% commission plus 0.2% base friction per side, modeled impact and T+3. Stress doubles commission/base friction and uses T+5. These are research assumptions.

All fills for finalist #324

618 fills, including partial sales. Page 5.

DateSideSharesPriceFeesFrictionCash flowRealized P&L
2020-01-01BUY3528043.1219.75-9,862.870
2020-01-06SELL35285.844.0120.169,938.8275.95
2020-01-20BUY37265.343.1919.74-9,879.040
2020-01-23SELL37270.544.0420.19,944.3665.33
2020-01-28BUY36272.443.1519.69-9,869.240
2020-02-02SELL3625840.8718.639,228.5-640.74
2020-02-05BUY35265.240.8418.61-9,341.450
2020-02-10SELL35261.940.3318.389,107.79-233.67
2020-02-19BUY34266.839.9118.19-9,129.30
2020-02-24SELL34319.847.8421.7910,803.561,674.26
2020-02-27BUY37288.146.921.36-10,727.960
2020-03-03SELL37273.944.5920.3110,069.4-658.56
2020-05-31BUY42239.144.1920.15-10,106.540
2020-06-03SELL4224044.3520.2310,015.42-91.12
2020-06-08BUY42238.844.1320.13-10,093.860
2020-06-11SELL42238.844.1320.149,965.33-128.54
2020-07-09BUY41238.843.0820.13-9,854.010
2020-07-14SELL41240.643.419.99,801.3-52.71
2020-07-19BUY4024342.7719.55-9,782.320
2020-07-22SELL40246.543.3819.819,796.814.48
2020-07-27BUY38259.943.4619.82-9,939.470
2020-07-30SELL3825542.6419.439,627.93-311.54
2020-08-09BUY3725541.5118.91-9,495.420
2020-08-13SELL3729047.2121.510,661.291,165.86
2020-08-18BUY3728846.8921.35-10,724.240
2020-08-24SELL3729548.0321.8710,845.11120.87
2020-08-27BUY3431747.4221.59-10,847.010
2020-09-02SELL34321.8548.1521.9210,872.825.79
2020-09-09BUY3233947.7321.73-10,917.460
2020-09-14SELL3235449.8422.6911,255.46338
2020-10-14BUY3333348.3522.06-11,059.410
2020-10-19SELL3333648.7922.2811,016.94-42.48
2020-11-08BUY33336.248.8222.3-11,165.720
2020-11-23SELL33316.0345.8920.9710,362.07-803.65
2020-12-07BUY32325.145.7720.92-10,469.890
2020-12-14SELL32345.6148.6622.2210,988.6518.71
2020-12-20BUY31348.547.5421.69-10,872.720
2021-01-04SELL31360.149.1222.3911,091.59218.87
2021-01-07BUY2937647.9821.86-10,973.840
2021-01-19SELL29384.249.0222.3411,070.4496.6
2021-02-07BUY2938549.1322.39-11,236.520
2021-02-22SELL29359.745.920.9210,364.48-872.04
2021-03-07BUY30340.344.9220.48-10,274.40
2021-03-10SELL3035246.4621.1810,492.35217.95
2021-03-15BUY3034745.820.89-10,476.690
2021-04-01SELL3033043.5619.889,836.56-640.13
2021-04-08BUY3032542.919.59-9,812.490
2021-04-13SELL3033043.5619.99,836.5424.05
2021-04-19BUY29341.943.6319.94-9,978.670
2021-05-11SELL2934043.3819.859,796.76-181.91
2021-05-17BUY28344.542.4419.4-9,707.840
2021-06-06SELL28351.4543.319.769,777.5469.7
2021-06-13BUY2835143.2419.74-9,890.990
2021-07-06SELL28348.442.9219.619,692.67-198.32
2021-07-12BUY27356.542.3519.34-9,687.190
2021-07-25SELL27362.7443.0919.679,731.1143.91
2021-07-28BUY2636541.7619.06-9,550.810
2021-08-03SELL2637242.5619.419,610.0359.22
2021-08-25BUY26369.942.3219.29-9,6790
2021-09-09SELL26384.0243.9320.039,920.58241.58
2021-09-14BUY26385.244.0720.1-10,079.360
2021-10-05SELL26378.243.2719.729,770.22-309.14
2021-11-03BUY27356.642.3619.33-9,689.890
2021-11-08SELL2735542.1719.269,523.57-166.32
2021-11-11BUY26354.740.5818.54-9,281.320
2021-11-16SELL26361.941.418.939,349.0767.75
2021-11-21BUY26360.541.2418.87-9,433.110
2021-12-01SELL2635941.0718.849,274.09-159.03
2021-12-06BUY26362.841.519.03-9,493.340
2021-12-15SELL26357.340.8818.759,230.18-263.16
2022-01-02BUY2635040.0418.35-9,158.390
2022-01-05SELL26350.340.0718.379,049.36-109.03
2022-01-10BUY25350.138.5117.62-8,808.630
2022-01-13SELL25357.139.2817.978,870.2561.62
2022-01-18BUY2536039.618.11-9,057.710
2022-01-30SELL2535238.7217.718,743.57-314.14
2022-02-07BUY24355.337.5217.18-8,581.90
2022-02-22SELL24355.837.5717.28,484.42-97.47
2022-03-14BUY26329.937.7417.24-8,632.380
2022-03-20SELL2632637.2917.048,421.67-210.71
2022-03-23BUY2632837.5217.15-8,582.670
2022-03-28SELL26329.937.7417.268,522.4-60.27
2022-03-31BUY25329.736.2716.59-8,295.350
2022-04-05SELL25325.135.7616.378,075.37-219.98
2022-04-18BUY25323.135.5416.31-8,129.350
2022-04-21SELL25322.135.4316.238,000.84-128.5
2022-04-26BUY2432734.5315.81-7,898.340
2022-05-05SELL24320.133.815.457,633.15-265.19
2022-05-30BUY2531034.115.57-7,799.670
2022-06-02SELL25309.534.0515.557,687.91-111.76
2022-06-07BUY25307.333.815.43-7,731.740
2022-06-12SELL2530633.6615.387,600.96-130.78
2022-06-15BUY24307.832.514.87-7,434.570
2022-06-20SELL2430632.3114.787,296.9-137.67
2022-06-23BUY2430532.2114.73-7,366.940
2022-06-28SELL24303.132.0114.637,227.76-139.18
2022-07-18BUY25289.831.8814.53-7,291.410
2022-07-21SELL25287.531.6314.417,141.46-149.95
2022-07-26BUY24289.430.5613.93-6,990.090
2022-07-31SELL24287.330.3413.836,851.03-139.05