← Strategy Research Lab
Experiment log · GP

Searching for profit that survives costs

1,105,920 unique configurations in this batch; 352 finalists received full and recent stress replays. Starting cash: ৳100,000. Data through 2026-10-13. Compute: local connected computer.

Full historical period: 2009-11-16 → 2026-10-13 (16.9 years). Selected finalist annualized return: -19.7%. This annualized figure describes the historical raw-price simulation.

All settings were tested for 6 fixed rule sets in the declared grid. The maximum is proven only within that finite historical grid. Full and recent-period results were used to select finalists, so those returns are in-sample. No global maximum across all possible strategies has been established. Corporate-action adjustments remain incomplete.

Verified finite search

Does the winner survive small changes?

Grid maximum NAV৳443,253
Nearby profitable settings25/25
Neighbour median NAV৳376,531
One extra session delay৳260,512

Stops and maximum holding periods varied by ±10% and ±20%. 25/25 nearby settings also had positive recent stress returns. Nearby full-history NAV ranged from ৳262,794 to ৳443,253. This is parameter sensitivity on the same historical data, not independent validation.

1× modeled trading costs৳443,253
1.5× modeled trading costs৳408,239
2× modeled trading costs৳377,450
3× modeled trading costs৳322,271

1,105,920 grid accounts and 352 detailed finalist ledgers checked. Reconciliation failures: 0.

Choose profit with more trades

Jump to the highest historical NAV that meets a minimum completed-position count. The saved frontier covers this trade-off.

Profit versus completed positions

Each dot is a finalist. Horizontal = full-history completed positions; vertical = full-history net return. Select a dot to inspect it.

0% return343.3% net return0 positions465 positions

Teal: positive recent stress return. Rose: zero or negative recent stress return.

The trade count–profit frontier

These 72 grid candidates cannot be beaten on both historical NAV and completed positions by another grid candidate. More positions often reduce profit.

Compare every trade-off and open its fills
Completed positionsFull-history NAVRecent stress NAVInspect
465৳479৳19,237Rules & trades →
459৳570৳19,289Rules & trades →
455৳608৳30,525Rules & trades →
454৳696৳29,045Rules & trades →
452৳696৳19,289Rules & trades →
415৳713৳19,289Rules & trades →
411৳717৳19,289Rules & trades →
405৳1,133৳19,289Rules & trades →
404৳1,549৳19,289Rules & trades →
402৳1,771৳19,289Rules & trades →
372৳2,015৳19,289Rules & trades →
371৳2,622৳19,289Rules & trades →
363৳2,910৳19,289Rules & trades →
343৳2,924৳20,089Rules & trades →
335৳3,181৳47,792Rules & trades →
333৳4,607৳37,882Rules & trades →
329৳5,476৳37,882Rules & trades →
313৳5,574৳30,360Rules & trades →
310৳6,173৳43,102Rules & trades →
303৳8,989৳39,010Rules & trades →
300৳9,801৳38,916Rules & trades →
295৳12,981৳32,156Rules & trades →
292৳13,676৳41,873Rules & trades →
260৳13,883৳26,610Rules & trades →
259৳15,710৳26,610Rules & trades →
257৳15,781৳30,307Rules & trades →
256৳16,033৳45,581Rules & trades →
255৳19,080৳30,307Rules & trades →
208৳20,877৳36,159Rules & trades →
198৳22,131৳53,195Rules & trades →
196৳25,143৳33,095Rules & trades →
187৳33,566৳58,245Rules & trades →
186৳34,489৳53,071Rules & trades →
167৳35,171৳40,802Rules & trades →
165৳37,440৳37,845Rules & trades →
161৳42,263৳74,918Rules & trades →
158৳44,043৳78,126Rules & trades →
157৳53,519৳74,918Rules & trades →
154৳56,264৳44,128Rules & trades →
153৳62,778৳49,942Rules & trades →
147৳65,022৳64,084Rules & trades →
137৳73,649৳47,943Rules & trades →
136৳78,632৳50,001Rules & trades →
135৳80,826৳50,473Rules & trades →
129৳99,944৳52,622Rules & trades →
128৳100,941৳52,622Rules & trades →
119৳100,995৳43,038Rules & trades →
118৳101,946৳46,575Rules & trades →
117৳110,155৳49,557Rules & trades →
103৳133,375৳48,996Rules & trades →
102৳136,102৳55,284Rules & trades →
101৳138,379৳53,456Rules & trades →
98৳145,520৳54,043Rules & trades →
79৳150,242৳115,900Rules & trades →
78৳159,180৳120,816Rules & trades →
77৳160,935৳120,816Rules & trades →
76৳161,019৳120,816Rules & trades →
74৳181,538৳116,988Rules & trades →
73৳199,142৳121,853Rules & trades →
60৳200,452৳118,366Rules & trades →
48৳211,201৳128,871Rules & trades →
44৳221,072৳119,591Rules & trades →
39৳242,605৳130,354Rules & trades →
38৳272,593৳130,354Rules & trades →
37৳278,807৳126,439Rules & trades →
33৳291,973৳126,422Rules & trades →
32৳298,043৳122,630Rules & trades →
25৳341,394৳127,207Rules & trades →
24৳389,702৳129,084Rules & trades →
22৳402,891৳133,960Rules & trades →
17৳411,464৳119,509Rules & trades →
15৳443,253৳124,915Rules & trades →

#329 · MACD

Full-history NAV৳2,444

Net return -97.6% · drawdown 97.6% · 318 closed positions

2024 onward NAV৳47,295

Net return -52.7% · drawdown 52.7% · 61 closed positions

2024 stress NAV৳22,242

Net return -77.8% · drawdown 77.8% · 46 closed positions

Variant 1; fixed stop 8.0%; maximum 5 sessions; gate None; continuous signal; exit EMA 200 break; trailing arms at 12.0%, distance 4.5%; partial sale at 0.0% (0 = off).

Account reconciliation

Cash৳40
Unsettled৳2,404
Holdings৳0
NAV৳2,444
Realized P&L৳-97,556
Unrealized P&L৳0
Fees৳61,657
Friction৳28,332

NAV = cash + unsettled proceeds + marked holdings. Maximum reconciliation error: ৳5.82e-11. Normal replay: 0.44% commission plus 0.2% base friction per side, modeled impact and T+3. Stress doubles commission/base friction and uses T+5. These are research assumptions.

All fills for finalist #329

636 fills, including partial sales. Page 2.

DateSideSharesPriceFeesFrictionCash flowRealized P&L
2013-03-14BUY239145.9153.4371.63-35,095.150
2013-03-20SELL239145.6153.1171.8234,573.46-521.69
2013-03-27BUY238144150.871.14-34,493.930
2013-04-01SELL238146.2153.172.5334,569.9776.04
2013-04-04BUY233147.4151.1171.45-34,566.770
2013-04-09SELL233146.5150.1970.9933,913.31-653.45
2013-04-15BUY230146.7148.4670.12-33,959.580
2013-04-18SELL230145.1146.8469.3733,156.79-802.79
2013-04-30BUY229143.8144.8968.75-33,143.840
2013-05-06SELL229145.9147.0170.0933,19450.15
2013-05-09BUY223148.3145.5169.3-33,285.710
2013-05-14SELL223157.4154.4473.4134,872.351,586.64
2013-05-20BUY208166.2152.1171.55-34,793.260
2013-05-28SELL208168.1153.8571.734,739.26-54
2013-06-02BUY199173.9152.2770.58-34,828.950
2013-06-09SELL199176.5154.5471.1334,897.8268.88
2013-06-12BUY194178.1152.0369.84-34,773.270
2013-06-19SELL194177.4151.4369.5334,194.64-578.63
2013-06-26BUY178191.6150.0668.78-34,323.640
2013-07-02SELL178183.9144.0365.9432,524.23-1,799.41
2013-07-14BUY152211.5141.4564.56-32,354.010
2013-07-17SELL152232.5155.570.935,113.62,759.59
2013-08-21BUY178196.1153.5970.08-35,129.470
2013-08-26SELL178210.1164.5575.1937,158.062,028.59
2013-09-02BUY172214.7162.4874.17-37,165.060
2013-09-09SELL172204.3154.6170.5234,914.47-2,250.59
2013-10-06BUY187185.7152.7969.95-34,948.650
2013-10-10SELL187181.4149.2668.5733,703.98-1,244.67
2013-10-23BUY183183.2147.5168.11-33,741.220
2013-10-28SELL183189.3152.4270.5434,418.94677.72
2013-10-31BUY178192150.3769.66-34,396.040
2013-11-07SELL178202.4158.5273.2835,795.41,399.37
2013-11-12BUY182195156.1671.94-35,718.090
2013-11-19SELL182206.5165.3776.0237,341.621,623.52
2013-11-24BUY180206.6163.6374.95-37,426.570
2013-12-01SELL180200.5158.872.6535,858.55-1,568.02
2013-12-10BUY174204.6156.6471.69-35,828.730
2013-12-18SELL174200.2153.2770.1734,611.36-1,217.37
2014-01-06BUY167206.4151.6669.78-34,690.250
2014-01-13SELL167205.9151.369.6234,164.38-525.86
2014-01-19BUY163208.3149.3968.7-34,170.990
2014-01-26SELL163215.3154.4170.9134,868.57697.58
2014-01-29BUY164211.5152.6270.01-34,908.630
2014-02-05SELL164205.4148.2267.9133,469.47-1,439.16
2014-02-26BUY158210.4146.2766.94-33,456.410
2014-03-05SELL158213.7148.5667.9233,548.1191.7
2014-03-10BUY155214.4146.2266.85-33,445.070
2014-03-18SELL155211.3144.1165.932,541.49-903.58
2014-04-01BUY150215.7142.3665.18-32,562.540
2014-04-08SELL150247163.0274.5736,812.414,249.88
2014-04-16BUY143255.8160.9573.45-36,813.790
2014-04-23SELL143265.2166.8676.1237,680.62866.82
2014-04-28BUY142262.8164.274.84-37,556.640
2014-05-06SELL142270.3168.8876.9838,136.74580.1
2014-06-01BUY138275.4167.2276.43-38,248.850
2014-06-08SELL138284172.4478.838,940.75691.9
2014-06-11BUY131295.1170.177.73-38,905.930
2014-06-18SELL131303.3174.8279.8139,477.66571.74
2014-08-04BUY126310.8172.3178.76-39,411.860
2014-08-11SELL126340188.586.0742,565.443,153.57
2014-08-14BUY123344.2186.2885-42,607.880
2014-08-24SELL123325.3176.0580.2739,755.58-2,852.3
2014-09-04BUY117338.1174.0579.37-39,811.130
2014-09-11SELL117337.8173.979.3839,269.32-541.81
2014-09-16BUY113345.7171.8878.47-39,314.460
2014-09-23SELL113380.7189.2886.4242,743.393,428.94
2014-09-29BUY108392.2186.3785.05-42,629.030
2014-10-13SELL108374.7178.0681.240,208.34-2,420.69
2014-10-29BUY107374.6176.3680.43-40,338.990
2014-11-06SELL107353.3166.3375.8937,560.88-2,778.11
2014-12-04BUY105352.6162.974.63-37,260.530
2014-12-11SELL105363.1167.7576.9337,880.82620.29
2014-12-18BUY108350.8166.776.48-38,129.580
2014-12-28SELL108357.8170.0378.1638,394.21264.63
2015-01-05BUY105362.5167.4876.99-38,306.960
2015-01-12SELL105355.9164.4375.7437,129.34-1,177.62
2015-02-05BUY109340163.0675.07-37,298.130
2015-02-12SELL109352.5169.0677.7938,175.65877.51
2015-02-17BUY109347.4166.6176.64-38,109.850
2015-02-24SELL109341163.5475.1736,930.28-1,179.57
2015-03-16BUY110334161.6674.34-36,9760
2015-03-24SELL110336162.6274.6736,722.7-253.3
2015-03-30BUY101358.7159.4173.05-36,461.160
2015-04-06SELL101353156.8771.7535,424.38-1,036.78
2015-05-06BUY106333.9155.7371.44-35,620.570
2015-05-11SELL106330153.9170.6134,755.48-865.09
2015-05-14BUY105326.9151.0369.29-34,544.820
2015-05-19SELL105333.8154.2270.8234,823.97279.15
2015-05-24BUY107326153.4870.46-35,105.940
2015-05-27SELL107329.9155.3271.2835,072.71-33.23
2015-06-04BUY105329.1152.0469.56-34,777.110
2015-06-09SELL105324.3149.8368.5333,833.14-943.97
2015-06-14BUY101335148.8768.04-34,051.910
2015-06-21SELL101330146.656733,116.35-935.56
2015-07-02BUY100330.1145.2466.42-33,221.660
2015-07-08SELL100328144.326632,589.68-631.98
2015-07-13BUY93346.9141.9564.89-32,468.540
2015-07-26SELL93340139.1363.5531,417.32-1,051.22
2015-08-24BUY99316.5137.8763.07-31,534.440
2015-08-27SELL99321.5140.0564.1531,624.389.87