← Strategy Research Lab
Experiment log · GP

Searching for profit that survives costs

1,105,920 unique configurations in this batch; 352 finalists received full and recent stress replays. Starting cash: ৳100,000. Data through 2026-10-13. Compute: local connected computer.

Full historical period: 2009-11-16 → 2026-10-13 (16.9 years). Selected finalist annualized return: -19.7%. This annualized figure describes the historical raw-price simulation.

All settings were tested for 6 fixed rule sets in the declared grid. The maximum is proven only within that finite historical grid. Full and recent-period results were used to select finalists, so those returns are in-sample. No global maximum across all possible strategies has been established. Corporate-action adjustments remain incomplete.

Verified finite search

Does the winner survive small changes?

Grid maximum NAV৳443,253
Nearby profitable settings25/25
Neighbour median NAV৳376,531
One extra session delay৳260,512

Stops and maximum holding periods varied by ±10% and ±20%. 25/25 nearby settings also had positive recent stress returns. Nearby full-history NAV ranged from ৳262,794 to ৳443,253. This is parameter sensitivity on the same historical data, not independent validation.

1× modeled trading costs৳443,253
1.5× modeled trading costs৳408,239
2× modeled trading costs৳377,450
3× modeled trading costs৳322,271

1,105,920 grid accounts and 352 detailed finalist ledgers checked. Reconciliation failures: 0.

Choose profit with more trades

Jump to the highest historical NAV that meets a minimum completed-position count. The saved frontier covers this trade-off.

Profit versus completed positions

Each dot is a finalist. Horizontal = full-history completed positions; vertical = full-history net return. Select a dot to inspect it.

0% return343.3% net return0 positions465 positions

Teal: positive recent stress return. Rose: zero or negative recent stress return.

The trade count–profit frontier

These 72 grid candidates cannot be beaten on both historical NAV and completed positions by another grid candidate. More positions often reduce profit.

Compare every trade-off and open its fills
Completed positionsFull-history NAVRecent stress NAVInspect
465৳479৳19,237Rules & trades →
459৳570৳19,289Rules & trades →
455৳608৳30,525Rules & trades →
454৳696৳29,045Rules & trades →
452৳696৳19,289Rules & trades →
415৳713৳19,289Rules & trades →
411৳717৳19,289Rules & trades →
405৳1,133৳19,289Rules & trades →
404৳1,549৳19,289Rules & trades →
402৳1,771৳19,289Rules & trades →
372৳2,015৳19,289Rules & trades →
371৳2,622৳19,289Rules & trades →
363৳2,910৳19,289Rules & trades →
343৳2,924৳20,089Rules & trades →
335৳3,181৳47,792Rules & trades →
333৳4,607৳37,882Rules & trades →
329৳5,476৳37,882Rules & trades →
313৳5,574৳30,360Rules & trades →
310৳6,173৳43,102Rules & trades →
303৳8,989৳39,010Rules & trades →
300৳9,801৳38,916Rules & trades →
295৳12,981৳32,156Rules & trades →
292৳13,676৳41,873Rules & trades →
260৳13,883৳26,610Rules & trades →
259৳15,710৳26,610Rules & trades →
257৳15,781৳30,307Rules & trades →
256৳16,033৳45,581Rules & trades →
255৳19,080৳30,307Rules & trades →
208৳20,877৳36,159Rules & trades →
198৳22,131৳53,195Rules & trades →
196৳25,143৳33,095Rules & trades →
187৳33,566৳58,245Rules & trades →
186৳34,489৳53,071Rules & trades →
167৳35,171৳40,802Rules & trades →
165৳37,440৳37,845Rules & trades →
161৳42,263৳74,918Rules & trades →
158৳44,043৳78,126Rules & trades →
157৳53,519৳74,918Rules & trades →
154৳56,264৳44,128Rules & trades →
153৳62,778৳49,942Rules & trades →
147৳65,022৳64,084Rules & trades →
137৳73,649৳47,943Rules & trades →
136৳78,632৳50,001Rules & trades →
135৳80,826৳50,473Rules & trades →
129৳99,944৳52,622Rules & trades →
128৳100,941৳52,622Rules & trades →
119৳100,995৳43,038Rules & trades →
118৳101,946৳46,575Rules & trades →
117৳110,155৳49,557Rules & trades →
103৳133,375৳48,996Rules & trades →
102৳136,102৳55,284Rules & trades →
101৳138,379৳53,456Rules & trades →
98৳145,520৳54,043Rules & trades →
79৳150,242৳115,900Rules & trades →
78৳159,180৳120,816Rules & trades →
77৳160,935৳120,816Rules & trades →
76৳161,019৳120,816Rules & trades →
74৳181,538৳116,988Rules & trades →
73৳199,142৳121,853Rules & trades →
60৳200,452৳118,366Rules & trades →
48৳211,201৳128,871Rules & trades →
44৳221,072৳119,591Rules & trades →
39৳242,605৳130,354Rules & trades →
38৳272,593৳130,354Rules & trades →
37৳278,807৳126,439Rules & trades →
33৳291,973৳126,422Rules & trades →
32৳298,043৳122,630Rules & trades →
25৳341,394৳127,207Rules & trades →
24৳389,702৳129,084Rules & trades →
22৳402,891৳133,960Rules & trades →
17৳411,464৳119,509Rules & trades →
15৳443,253৳124,915Rules & trades →

#329 · MACD

Full-history NAV৳2,444

Net return -97.6% · drawdown 97.6% · 318 closed positions

2024 onward NAV৳47,295

Net return -52.7% · drawdown 52.7% · 61 closed positions

2024 stress NAV৳22,242

Net return -77.8% · drawdown 77.8% · 46 closed positions

Variant 1; fixed stop 8.0%; maximum 5 sessions; gate None; continuous signal; exit EMA 200 break; trailing arms at 12.0%, distance 4.5%; partial sale at 0.0% (0 = off).

Account reconciliation

Cash৳40
Unsettled৳2,404
Holdings৳0
NAV৳2,444
Realized P&L৳-97,556
Unrealized P&L৳0
Fees৳61,657
Friction৳28,332

NAV = cash + unsettled proceeds + marked holdings. Maximum reconciliation error: ৳5.82e-11. Normal replay: 0.44% commission plus 0.2% base friction per side, modeled impact and T+3. Stress doubles commission/base friction and uses T+5. These are research assumptions.

All fills for finalist #329

636 fills, including partial sales. Page 3.

DateSideSharesPriceFeesFrictionCash flowRealized P&L
2015-09-01BUY99316.1137.6963.13-31,494.720
2015-09-06SELL99314.1136.8262.8230,896.26-598.47
2015-09-09BUY98313.2135.0562.06-30,890.710
2015-09-14SELL98307.1132.4260.8229,902.56-988.15
2015-10-21BUY115258.913159.99-29,964.490
2015-10-27SELL115250126.557.9228,565.58-1,398.91
2015-11-01BUY113250.8124.757.17-28,522.260
2015-11-04SELL113249123.856.7827,956.42-565.85
2015-11-09BUY111249.3121.7655.9-27,849.960
2015-11-12SELL111250122.156.1127,571.79-278.17
2015-11-17BUY110250.5121.2455.81-27,732.060
2015-11-22SELL110252.2122.0656.3327,563.6-168.45
2015-11-25BUY108252119.7555.27-27,391.020
2015-11-30SELL108256.1121.756.2427,480.8689.83
2015-12-03BUY101272120.8855.82-27,648.690
2015-12-08SELL101257114.2152.6325,790.16-1,858.53
2015-12-24BUY101253.5112.6651.89-25,768.050
2015-12-29SELL101254112.8852.0425,489.09-278.96
2016-01-03BUY100253.4111.551.57-25,503.070
2016-01-06SELL100252110.8851.5125,037.61-465.46
2016-01-11BUY98254109.5251.03-25,052.560
2016-01-14SELL98256.6110.6551.4824,984.67-67.88
2016-01-19BUY94263.3108.950.49-24,909.60
2016-01-24SELL94266110.0250.7424,843.25-66.35
2016-01-27BUY92268108.4949.99-24,814.480
2016-02-01SELL92257104.0347.8823,492.08-1,322.39
2016-02-23BUY90259102.5647.33-23,459.890
2016-02-28SELL90256.2101.4646.822,909.75-550.15
2016-03-21BUY95240.5100.5346.26-22,994.290
2016-03-24SELL95235.298.3145.2522,200.44-793.85
2016-04-04BUY95233.197.4445.25-22,287.180
2016-04-07SELL95233.297.4845.3822,011.14-276.04
2016-04-12BUY93233.895.6744.53-21,883.60
2016-04-18SELL93235.996.5345.0821,797.09-86.51
2016-04-21BUY8924395.1644.31-21,766.470
2016-04-26SELL89251.998.6445.7222,274.74508.27
2016-05-02BUY9124598.145.4-22,438.490
2016-05-05SELL9124798.945.7922,332.31-106.18
2016-05-10BUY87253.49744.82-22,187.630
2016-05-15SELL87251.196.1244.3721,705.21-482.41
2016-05-24BUY84256.794.8843.8-21,701.470
2016-05-29SELL84255.294.3243.5821,298.89-402.58
2016-06-30BUY84251.793.0343.05-21,278.880
2016-07-12SELL84255.894.5443.7321,348.9370.05
2016-07-16BUY8325793.8643.42-21,468.280
2016-07-19SELL83259.494.7343.7421,391.73-76.55
2016-07-24BUY8126393.7343.13-21,439.870
2016-07-31SELL81276.598.5445.0922,252.86812.99
2016-09-06BUY8226896.6944.56-22,117.260
2016-09-20SELL8226294.5343.7721,345.7-771.56
2016-09-25BUY80267.194.0243.58-21,505.60
2016-10-02SELL80268.594.5143.8221,341.67-163.93
2016-10-05BUY77273.992.842.87-21,225.970
2016-10-16SELL77269.791.3742.2220,633.31-592.66
2016-10-19BUY7427589.5441.3-20,480.840
2016-10-26SELL7428091.1741.8920,586.95106.1
2016-11-09BUY73281.390.3541.46-20,666.710
2016-11-16SELL73279.889.8741.2220,294.3-372.41
2016-11-21BUY70287.188.4340.52-20,225.940
2016-11-28SELL7028688.0940.3119,891.6-334.34
2016-12-11BUY6928787.1339.86-19,929.990
2016-12-19SELL69285.286.5939.6419,552.58-377.42
2017-01-05BUY6729085.4939.17-19,554.660
2017-01-12SELL67290.785.739.2519,351.95-202.71
2017-01-17BUY66292.184.8338.81-19,402.230
2017-01-24SELL66298.586.6839.6319,574.69172.45
2017-01-29BUY64305.586.0339.28-19,677.310
2017-02-05SELL64306.586.3139.4219,490.27-187.03
2017-02-12BUY63307.185.1338.89-19,471.320
2017-02-19SELL6332088.740.5320,030.77559.45
2017-03-09BUY63316.987.8440.17-20,092.710
2017-03-16SELL63315.287.3739.9519,730.27-362.44
2017-03-30BUY5933085.6739.24-19,594.910
2017-04-06SELL59346.589.9541.1220,312.43717.52
2017-04-11BUY59344.589.4340.9-20,455.830
2017-04-18SELL5933586.9739.7719,638.27-817.57
2017-05-28BUY5833485.2439.27-19,496.50
2017-06-04SELL58333.585.1139.1919,218.7-277.81
2017-06-07BUY56337.983.2638.33-19,043.990
2017-06-14SELL56331.581.6837.5518,444.76-599.22
2017-06-21BUY55335.881.2637.31-18,587.570
2017-07-03SELL55344.583.3738.1718,825.96238.39
2017-07-06BUY53355.482.8837.89-18,956.970
2017-07-13SELL53354.882.7437.7718,683.89-273.08
2017-07-18BUY50370.981.637.2-18,663.80
2017-07-25SELL5036981.183718,331.82-331.98
2017-07-30BUY48376.779.5636.25-18,197.410
2017-08-06SELL48373.278.8235.9117,798.87-398.55
2017-08-17BUY4638878.5335.82-17,962.350
2017-08-24SELL46388.478.6135.8617,751.93-210.42
2017-09-07BUY44396.976.8435.09-17,575.530
2017-09-14SELL44423.181.9137.3718,497.12921.58
2017-10-10BUY4442281.737.29-18,686.990
2017-10-17SELL4442682.4737.6718,623.85-63.14
2017-10-24BUY42431.379.736.39-18,230.70
2017-10-31SELL42441.981.6637.2818,440.85210.15
2017-11-09BUY4145782.4437.63-18,857.080
2017-11-16SELL4148487.3139.8119,716.87859.8
2017-12-06BUY4048785.7139.05-19,604.770
2017-12-13SELL4047082.7237.7118,679.57-925.2