← Strategy Research Lab
Experiment log · GP

Searching for profit that survives costs

1,105,920 unique configurations in this batch; 352 finalists received full and recent stress replays. Starting cash: ৳100,000. Data through 2026-10-13. Compute: local connected computer.

Full historical period: 2009-11-16 → 2026-10-13 (16.9 years). Selected finalist annualized return: -19.7%. This annualized figure describes the historical raw-price simulation.

All settings were tested for 6 fixed rule sets in the declared grid. The maximum is proven only within that finite historical grid. Full and recent-period results were used to select finalists, so those returns are in-sample. No global maximum across all possible strategies has been established. Corporate-action adjustments remain incomplete.

Verified finite search

Does the winner survive small changes?

Grid maximum NAV৳443,253
Nearby profitable settings25/25
Neighbour median NAV৳376,531
One extra session delay৳260,512

Stops and maximum holding periods varied by ±10% and ±20%. 25/25 nearby settings also had positive recent stress returns. Nearby full-history NAV ranged from ৳262,794 to ৳443,253. This is parameter sensitivity on the same historical data, not independent validation.

1× modeled trading costs৳443,253
1.5× modeled trading costs৳408,239
2× modeled trading costs৳377,450
3× modeled trading costs৳322,271

1,105,920 grid accounts and 352 detailed finalist ledgers checked. Reconciliation failures: 0.

Choose profit with more trades

Jump to the highest historical NAV that meets a minimum completed-position count. The saved frontier covers this trade-off.

Profit versus completed positions

Each dot is a finalist. Horizontal = full-history completed positions; vertical = full-history net return. Select a dot to inspect it.

0% return343.3% net return0 positions465 positions

Teal: positive recent stress return. Rose: zero or negative recent stress return.

The trade count–profit frontier

These 72 grid candidates cannot be beaten on both historical NAV and completed positions by another grid candidate. More positions often reduce profit.

Compare every trade-off and open its fills
Completed positionsFull-history NAVRecent stress NAVInspect
465৳479৳19,237Rules & trades →
459৳570৳19,289Rules & trades →
455৳608৳30,525Rules & trades →
454৳696৳29,045Rules & trades →
452৳696৳19,289Rules & trades →
415৳713৳19,289Rules & trades →
411৳717৳19,289Rules & trades →
405৳1,133৳19,289Rules & trades →
404৳1,549৳19,289Rules & trades →
402৳1,771৳19,289Rules & trades →
372৳2,015৳19,289Rules & trades →
371৳2,622৳19,289Rules & trades →
363৳2,910৳19,289Rules & trades →
343৳2,924৳20,089Rules & trades →
335৳3,181৳47,792Rules & trades →
333৳4,607৳37,882Rules & trades →
329৳5,476৳37,882Rules & trades →
313৳5,574৳30,360Rules & trades →
310৳6,173৳43,102Rules & trades →
303৳8,989৳39,010Rules & trades →
300৳9,801৳38,916Rules & trades →
295৳12,981৳32,156Rules & trades →
292৳13,676৳41,873Rules & trades →
260৳13,883৳26,610Rules & trades →
259৳15,710৳26,610Rules & trades →
257৳15,781৳30,307Rules & trades →
256৳16,033৳45,581Rules & trades →
255৳19,080৳30,307Rules & trades →
208৳20,877৳36,159Rules & trades →
198৳22,131৳53,195Rules & trades →
196৳25,143৳33,095Rules & trades →
187৳33,566৳58,245Rules & trades →
186৳34,489৳53,071Rules & trades →
167৳35,171৳40,802Rules & trades →
165৳37,440৳37,845Rules & trades →
161৳42,263৳74,918Rules & trades →
158৳44,043৳78,126Rules & trades →
157৳53,519৳74,918Rules & trades →
154৳56,264৳44,128Rules & trades →
153৳62,778৳49,942Rules & trades →
147৳65,022৳64,084Rules & trades →
137৳73,649৳47,943Rules & trades →
136৳78,632৳50,001Rules & trades →
135৳80,826৳50,473Rules & trades →
129৳99,944৳52,622Rules & trades →
128৳100,941৳52,622Rules & trades →
119৳100,995৳43,038Rules & trades →
118৳101,946৳46,575Rules & trades →
117৳110,155৳49,557Rules & trades →
103৳133,375৳48,996Rules & trades →
102৳136,102৳55,284Rules & trades →
101৳138,379৳53,456Rules & trades →
98৳145,520৳54,043Rules & trades →
79৳150,242৳115,900Rules & trades →
78৳159,180৳120,816Rules & trades →
77৳160,935৳120,816Rules & trades →
76৳161,019৳120,816Rules & trades →
74৳181,538৳116,988Rules & trades →
73৳199,142৳121,853Rules & trades →
60৳200,452৳118,366Rules & trades →
48৳211,201৳128,871Rules & trades →
44৳221,072৳119,591Rules & trades →
39৳242,605৳130,354Rules & trades →
38৳272,593৳130,354Rules & trades →
37৳278,807৳126,439Rules & trades →
33৳291,973৳126,422Rules & trades →
32৳298,043৳122,630Rules & trades →
25৳341,394৳127,207Rules & trades →
24৳389,702৳129,084Rules & trades →
22৳402,891৳133,960Rules & trades →
17৳411,464৳119,509Rules & trades →
15৳443,253৳124,915Rules & trades →

#329 · MACD

Full-history NAV৳2,444

Net return -97.6% · drawdown 97.6% · 318 closed positions

2024 onward NAV৳47,295

Net return -52.7% · drawdown 52.7% · 61 closed positions

2024 stress NAV৳22,242

Net return -77.8% · drawdown 77.8% · 46 closed positions

Variant 1; fixed stop 8.0%; maximum 5 sessions; gate None; continuous signal; exit EMA 200 break; trailing arms at 12.0%, distance 4.5%; partial sale at 0.0% (0 = off).

Account reconciliation

Cash৳40
Unsettled৳2,404
Holdings৳0
NAV৳2,444
Realized P&L৳-97,556
Unrealized P&L৳0
Fees৳61,657
Friction৳28,332

NAV = cash + unsettled proceeds + marked holdings. Maximum reconciliation error: ৳5.82e-11. Normal replay: 0.44% commission plus 0.2% base friction per side, modeled impact and T+3. Stress doubles commission/base friction and uses T+5. These are research assumptions.

All fills for finalist #329

636 fills, including partial sales. Page 4.

DateSideSharesPriceFeesFrictionCash flowRealized P&L
2017-12-28BUY39469.480.5536.75-18,423.90
2018-01-07SELL39477.281.8937.3918,491.5267.63
2018-01-17BUY39477.281.8937.38-18,730.060
2018-01-24SELL39503.886.4539.4519,522.3792.24
2018-01-29BUY38505.384.4938.53-19,324.410
2018-02-05SELL3849682.9337.818,727.27-597.14
2018-02-14BUY37508.882.8337.75-18,946.190
2018-02-22SELL37494.980.5736.7218,194.01-752.18
2018-03-07BUY37487.979.4336.26-18,167.990
2018-03-14SELL3748178.3135.7617,682.93-485.06
2018-03-19BUY36483.176.5234.97-17,503.10
2018-03-27SELL36468.174.1533.9316,743.53-759.57
2018-04-03BUY3547773.4633.57-16,802.030
2018-04-10SELL3547573.1533.4416,518.41-283.62
2018-04-15BUY34484.872.5333.14-16,588.860
2018-04-22SELL3449073.333.516,553.2-35.67
2018-05-15BUY3546671.7632.74-16,414.50
2018-05-20SELL3544568.5331.2515,475.22-939.29
2018-05-30BUY36428.467.8630.98-15,521.230
2018-06-04SELL3640564.1529.2814,486.57-1,034.66
2018-06-21BUY3838564.3729.35-14,723.720
2018-06-26SELL3840467.5530.7915,253.67529.94
2018-07-02BUY38390.165.2229.72-14,918.740
2018-07-05SELL3837863.228.7914,272-646.74
2018-07-10BUY37390.663.5928.97-14,544.760
2018-07-15SELL3739063.4928.9314,337.58-207.19
2018-07-18BUY35401.961.8928.2-14,156.590
2018-07-23SELL35396.961.1227.8613,802.52-354.08
2018-07-26BUY3539160.2127.46-13,772.680
2018-07-31SELL35388.159.7727.2713,496.46-276.22
2018-08-20BUY3637459.2427.05-13,550.290
2018-08-28SELL36383.560.7527.7613,717.49167.2
2018-09-03BUY3538759.627.24-13,631.830
2018-09-06SELL35388.559.8327.3413,510.33-121.5
2018-09-27BUY37366.259.6227.25-13,636.270
2018-10-02SELL3737260.5627.6813,675.7639.49
2018-10-07BUY37365.159.4427.16-13,595.30
2018-10-10SELL3736359.126.9913,344.91-250.39
2018-10-15BUY3736459.2627.07-13,554.330
2018-10-18SELL3736459.2627.0713,381.67-172.66
2018-10-23BUY3636557.8226.44-13,224.250
2018-10-28SELL3638360.6727.7213,699.61475.36
2018-10-31BUY36380.560.2727.54-13,785.810
2018-11-05SELL3638060.1927.5113,592.3-193.51
2018-11-29BUY37366.759.727.33-13,654.930
2018-12-04SELL37360.158.6226.8413,238.23-416.7
2018-12-09BUY36363.657.5926.36-13,173.560
2018-12-12SELL36355.556.3125.7712,715.92-457.63
2018-12-18BUY35360.555.5225.4-12,698.420
2018-12-23SELL35356.154.8425.1412,383.52-314.89
2018-12-27BUY3436154.0124.76-12,352.770
2019-01-03SELL3436554.625.0212,330.37-22.39
2019-01-08BUY3337454.324.84-12,421.150
2019-01-13SELL3339056.6325.8712,787.5366.35
2019-01-16BUY33387.156.2125.66-12,856.170
2019-01-21SELL3338756.1925.6512,689.15-167.02
2019-01-24BUY32391.355.125.14-12,601.830
2019-01-31SELL3241458.2926.5613,163.15561.32
2019-02-27BUY33394.557.2826.08-13,101.860
2019-03-05SELL3339457.2126.0612,918.73-183.14
2019-03-13BUY33391.756.8725.93-13,008.90
2019-03-19SELL3338956.4825.7612,754.76-254.14
2019-03-24BUY3239856.0425.56-12,817.60
2019-04-01SELL32409.257.6226.2913,010.49192.9
2019-04-23BUY34372.455.7125.39-12,742.70
2019-04-28SELL3436554.624.8912,330.5-412.2
2019-05-06BUY34362.154.1724.72-12,390.290
2019-05-09SELL34358.753.6624.512,117.64-272.65
2019-05-20BUY35350.153.9224.68-12,332.10
2019-05-23SELL35349.453.8124.6412,150.55-181.55
2019-05-28BUY35341.852.6424.1-12,039.740
2019-06-09SELL35355.154.6925.0612,348.76309.02
2019-06-12BUY3436554.625.03-12,489.630
2019-06-17SELL34358.153.5724.5412,097.29-392.35
2019-06-20BUY33360.452.3323.98-11,969.510
2019-06-25SELL33360.952.424.0111,833.28-136.23
2019-06-30BUY3236551.3923.52-11,754.910
2019-07-04SELL3236451.2523.4611,573.29-181.62
2019-07-28BUY36324.651.4223.49-11,760.510
2019-07-31SELL36325.151.523.5311,628.57-131.93
2019-08-06BUY36321.850.9723.28-11,659.060
2019-08-18SELL3631850.3723.0111,374.62-284.43
2019-08-21BUY3432748.9222.35-11,189.270
2019-08-26SELL34316.747.3821.6510,698.77-490.5
2019-08-29BUY34316.847.3921.66-10,840.260
2019-09-03SELL3430044.8820.5110,134.61-705.64
2019-09-11BUY32309.943.6319.93-9,980.360
2019-09-16SELL32306.643.1719.729,748.31-232.05
2019-09-23BUY2736142.8919.57-9,809.450
2019-09-26SELL2736042.7719.59,657.73-151.72
2019-10-01BUY27352.441.8719.08-9,575.750
2019-10-06SELL2734741.2218.799,308.99-266.76
2019-10-27BUY28327.640.3618.42-9,231.580
2019-10-30SELL28321.239.5718.078,935.96-295.62
2019-11-13BUY29314.640.1418.34-9,181.880
2019-11-18SELL29310.739.6518.128,952.54-229.34
2019-11-21BUY2732538.6117.61-8,831.220
2019-11-26SELL2730636.3516.588,209.07-622.15
2019-12-01BUY2631836.3816.58-8,320.960
2019-12-04SELL2631035.4616.168,008.37-312.59