← Strategy Research Lab
Experiment log · GP

Searching for profit that survives costs

1,105,920 unique configurations in this batch; 352 finalists received full and recent stress replays. Starting cash: ৳100,000. Data through 2026-10-13. Compute: local connected computer.

Full historical period: 2009-11-16 → 2026-10-13 (16.9 years). Selected finalist annualized return: -20.0%. This annualized figure describes the historical raw-price simulation.

All settings were tested for 6 fixed rule sets in the declared grid. The maximum is proven only within that finite historical grid. Full and recent-period results were used to select finalists, so those returns are in-sample. No global maximum across all possible strategies has been established. Corporate-action adjustments remain incomplete.

Verified finite search

Does the winner survive small changes?

Grid maximum NAV৳443,253
Nearby profitable settings25/25
Neighbour median NAV৳376,531
One extra session delay৳260,512

Stops and maximum holding periods varied by ±10% and ±20%. 25/25 nearby settings also had positive recent stress returns. Nearby full-history NAV ranged from ৳262,794 to ৳443,253. This is parameter sensitivity on the same historical data, not independent validation.

1× modeled trading costs৳443,253
1.5× modeled trading costs৳408,239
2× modeled trading costs৳377,450
3× modeled trading costs৳322,271

1,105,920 grid accounts and 352 detailed finalist ledgers checked. Reconciliation failures: 0.

Choose profit with more trades

Jump to the highest historical NAV that meets a minimum completed-position count. The saved frontier covers this trade-off.

Profit versus completed positions

Each dot is a finalist. Horizontal = full-history completed positions; vertical = full-history net return. Select a dot to inspect it.

0% return343.3% net return0 positions465 positions

Teal: positive recent stress return. Rose: zero or negative recent stress return.

The trade count–profit frontier

These 72 grid candidates cannot be beaten on both historical NAV and completed positions by another grid candidate. More positions often reduce profit.

Compare every trade-off and open its fills
Completed positionsFull-history NAVRecent stress NAVInspect
465৳479৳19,237Rules & trades →
459৳570৳19,289Rules & trades →
455৳608৳30,525Rules & trades →
454৳696৳29,045Rules & trades →
452৳696৳19,289Rules & trades →
415৳713৳19,289Rules & trades →
411৳717৳19,289Rules & trades →
405৳1,133৳19,289Rules & trades →
404৳1,549৳19,289Rules & trades →
402৳1,771৳19,289Rules & trades →
372৳2,015৳19,289Rules & trades →
371৳2,622৳19,289Rules & trades →
363৳2,910৳19,289Rules & trades →
343৳2,924৳20,089Rules & trades →
335৳3,181৳47,792Rules & trades →
333৳4,607৳37,882Rules & trades →
329৳5,476৳37,882Rules & trades →
313৳5,574৳30,360Rules & trades →
310৳6,173৳43,102Rules & trades →
303৳8,989৳39,010Rules & trades →
300৳9,801৳38,916Rules & trades →
295৳12,981৳32,156Rules & trades →
292৳13,676৳41,873Rules & trades →
260৳13,883৳26,610Rules & trades →
259৳15,710৳26,610Rules & trades →
257৳15,781৳30,307Rules & trades →
256৳16,033৳45,581Rules & trades →
255৳19,080৳30,307Rules & trades →
208৳20,877৳36,159Rules & trades →
198৳22,131৳53,195Rules & trades →
196৳25,143৳33,095Rules & trades →
187৳33,566৳58,245Rules & trades →
186৳34,489৳53,071Rules & trades →
167৳35,171৳40,802Rules & trades →
165৳37,440৳37,845Rules & trades →
161৳42,263৳74,918Rules & trades →
158৳44,043৳78,126Rules & trades →
157৳53,519৳74,918Rules & trades →
154৳56,264৳44,128Rules & trades →
153৳62,778৳49,942Rules & trades →
147৳65,022৳64,084Rules & trades →
137৳73,649৳47,943Rules & trades →
136৳78,632৳50,001Rules & trades →
135৳80,826৳50,473Rules & trades →
129৳99,944৳52,622Rules & trades →
128৳100,941৳52,622Rules & trades →
119৳100,995৳43,038Rules & trades →
118৳101,946৳46,575Rules & trades →
117৳110,155৳49,557Rules & trades →
103৳133,375৳48,996Rules & trades →
102৳136,102৳55,284Rules & trades →
101৳138,379৳53,456Rules & trades →
98৳145,520৳54,043Rules & trades →
79৳150,242৳115,900Rules & trades →
78৳159,180৳120,816Rules & trades →
77৳160,935৳120,816Rules & trades →
76৳161,019৳120,816Rules & trades →
74৳181,538৳116,988Rules & trades →
73৳199,142৳121,853Rules & trades →
60৳200,452৳118,366Rules & trades →
48৳211,201৳128,871Rules & trades →
44৳221,072৳119,591Rules & trades →
39৳242,605৳130,354Rules & trades →
38৳272,593৳130,354Rules & trades →
37৳278,807৳126,439Rules & trades →
33৳291,973৳126,422Rules & trades →
32৳298,043৳122,630Rules & trades →
25৳341,394৳127,207Rules & trades →
24৳389,702৳129,084Rules & trades →
22৳402,891৳133,960Rules & trades →
17৳411,464৳119,509Rules & trades →
15৳443,253৳124,915Rules & trades →

#330 · MACD

Full-history NAV৳2,298

Net return -97.7% · drawdown 97.8% · 319 closed positions

2024 onward NAV৳41,978

Net return -58.0% · drawdown 58.1% · 60 closed positions

2024 stress NAV৳26,882

Net return -73.1% · drawdown 73.1% · 43 closed positions

Variant 1; fixed stop 10.0%; maximum 10 sessions; gate None; continuous signal; exit EMA 200 break; trailing arms at 2.0%, distance 1.0%; partial sale at 15.0% (0 = off).

Account reconciliation

Cash৳134
Unsettled৳2,164
Holdings৳0
NAV৳2,298
Realized P&L৳-97,702
Unrealized P&L৳0
Fees৳60,764
Friction৳27,929

NAV = cash + unsettled proceeds + marked holdings. Maximum reconciliation error: ৳9.91e-11. Normal replay: 0.44% commission plus 0.2% base friction per side, modeled impact and T+3. Stress doubles commission/base friction and uses T+5. These are research assumptions.

All fills for finalist #330

639 fills, including partial sales. Page 2.

DateSideSharesPriceFeesFrictionCash flowRealized P&L
2013-02-11BUY242165.9176.6581.93-40,406.380
2013-02-14SELL242167.9178.7882.7240,370.3-36.09
2013-03-14BUY275145.9176.5482.74-40,381.780
2013-03-20SELL275145.6176.1883.0339,780.8-600.98
2013-03-27BUY274144173.6182.35-39,711.950
2013-04-01SELL274146.2176.2684.0139,798.5386.58
2013-04-04BUY268147.4173.8182.66-39,759.670
2013-04-09SELL268146.5172.7582.1339,007.12-752.56
2013-04-15BUY265146.7171.0581.25-39,127.80
2013-04-18SELL265145.1169.1980.3938,201.92-925.87
2013-04-30BUY264143.8167.0479.77-38,210.010
2013-05-06SELL264145.9169.4881.3838,266.7456.73
2013-05-09BUY256148.3167.0580.09-38,211.940
2013-05-14SELL256157.4177.384.8140,032.291,820.35
2013-05-20BUY239166.2174.7882.63-39,979.210
2013-05-26SELL239163.7172.1580.6438,871.51-1,107.69
2013-05-30BUY223173.7170.4379.24-38,984.770
2013-06-04SELL223177.41174.0780.7239,307.19322.42
2013-06-09BUY221176.5171.6379.1-39,257.230
2013-06-12SELL221178.1173.1879.6839,107.24-149.99
2013-06-26BUY203191.6171.1478.53-39,144.470
2013-07-10SELL101220.798.0844.7622,147.862,672.04
2013-07-11SELL10221797.3944.4121,992.22,323.55
2013-07-17BUY188232.5192.3287.76-43,990.080
2013-07-22SELL188180.9149.6468.1833,791.38-10,198.71
2013-08-21BUY172196.1148.4167.71-33,945.320
2013-08-26SELL172210.5159.3172.7835,973.912,028.59
2013-09-02BUY166214.7156.8271.57-35,868.590
2013-09-05SELL166212154.8470.6334,966.52-902.07
2013-10-06BUY187185.7152.7969.95-34,948.650
2013-10-10SELL187181.4149.2668.5733,703.98-1,244.67
2013-10-23BUY183183.2147.5168.11-33,741.220
2013-10-28SELL183189.3152.4270.5434,418.94677.72
2013-10-31BUY178192150.3769.66-34,396.040
2013-11-05SELL178194.6152.4170.4534,415.9419.9
2013-11-10BUY174196.8150.6769.43-34,463.30
2013-11-13SELL174194.6148.9968.5533,642.86-820.44
2013-11-21BUY159209.9146.8567.25-33,588.190
2013-11-26SELL159200139.9263.9931,596.09-1,992.1
2013-12-10BUY154204.6138.6463.4-31,710.430
2013-12-26SELL154199.8135.3862.1630,571.66-1,138.78
2014-01-06BUY147206.4133.561.34-30,535.640
2014-01-09SELL147208.7134.9962.0330,481.89-53.75
2014-01-15BUY148204.5133.1761.18-30,460.350
2014-01-20SELL148207.1134.8661.9330,454.01-6.34
2014-01-26BUY140215.3132.6260.82-30,335.440
2014-02-09SELL140207.9128.0758.5928,919.34-1,416.11
2014-02-26BUY137210.4126.8357.99-29,009.620
2014-03-03SELL137220.3132.860.729,987.6977.98
2014-03-06BUY139214.7131.3159.99-30,034.60
2014-03-11SELL139212.8130.1559.4729,389.58-645.02
2014-04-01BUY135215.7128.1358.62-29,306.240
2014-04-06SELL135224.73133.4961.130,143.96837.72
2014-04-09BUY121247.9131.9860.25-30,188.140
2014-04-15SELL121259.38138.096331,183.88995.75
2014-04-20BUY124250.3136.5662.27-31,236.030
2014-04-23SELL124265.2144.6965.9732,674.131,438.1
2014-04-28BUY123262.8142.2364.81-32,531.430
2014-05-04SELL123262.9142.2864.8232,129.6-401.83
2014-06-01BUY116275.4140.5664.19-32,151.150
2014-06-04SELL116295.9151.0368.9534,104.431,953.27
2014-06-09BUY117289.3148.9368.01-34,065.040
2014-06-15SELL117299.97154.4270.534,871.56806.52
2014-06-18BUY114303.3152.1469.42-34,797.750
2014-07-03SELL114294.9147.9267.4933,403.18-1,394.57
2014-08-04BUY107310.8146.3266.82-33,468.750
2014-08-10SELL107327.69154.2870.434,838.151,369.4
2014-08-13BUY102339.2152.2369.42-34,820.050
2014-08-19SELL102338.2151.7869.1934,275.42-544.63
2014-09-04BUY101338.1150.2568.49-34,366.840
2014-09-16SELL101345.7153.6370.1134,691.96325.12
2014-09-23BUY90380.7150.7668.77-34,482.530
2014-09-28SELL90395.8156.7471.4935,393.95911.42
2014-10-01BUY92384.2155.5270.91-35,572.840
2014-10-22SELL92370.8150.168.433,895.1-1,677.74
2014-10-29BUY90374.6148.3467.61-33,929.960
2014-11-13SELL90349.6138.4463.1731,262.39-2,667.57
2014-12-04BUY88352.6136.5362.47-31,227.790
2014-12-10SELL88358.08138.6563.4831,309.1781.38
2014-12-18BUY89350.8137.3762.92-31,421.490
2014-12-23SELL89354.92138.9863.7331,384.72-36.78
2014-12-29BUY87356.5136.4762.62-31,214.580
2015-01-07SELL87364139.3464.0131,464.65250.06
2015-02-05BUY92340137.6363.24-31,480.870
2015-02-10SELL92343138.8563.7831,353.37-127.5
2015-02-15BUY89350137.0662.91-31,349.970
2015-03-01SELL89336.1131.6260.3929,720.89-1,629.08
2015-03-16BUY89334130.7960.02-29,916.810
2015-03-22SELL89337.5132.1760.5729,844.77-72.05
2015-03-25BUY87338129.3959.28-29,594.670
2015-03-31SELL87354.9135.8662.1430,678.31,083.63
2015-04-05BUY88348134.7561.57-30,820.320
2015-04-08SELL88352136.2962.2730,777.44-42.88
2015-05-06BUY91333.9133.6961.25-30,579.840
2015-05-11SELL91330132.1360.5429,837.33-742.51
2015-05-14BUY91326.9130.8959.98-29,938.770
2015-05-19SELL91333.8133.6561.2930,180.85242.09
2015-05-24BUY92326131.9660.5-30,184.460
2015-05-27SELL92329.9133.5461.230,156.05-28.41
2015-06-04BUY91329.1131.7760.24-30,140.110