← Strategy Research Lab
Experiment log · GP

Searching for profit that survives costs

1,105,920 unique configurations in this batch; 352 finalists received full and recent stress replays. Starting cash: ৳100,000. Data through 2026-10-13. Compute: local connected computer.

Full historical period: 2009-11-16 → 2026-10-13 (16.9 years). Selected finalist annualized return: -20.0%. This annualized figure describes the historical raw-price simulation.

All settings were tested for 6 fixed rule sets in the declared grid. The maximum is proven only within that finite historical grid. Full and recent-period results were used to select finalists, so those returns are in-sample. No global maximum across all possible strategies has been established. Corporate-action adjustments remain incomplete.

Verified finite search

Does the winner survive small changes?

Grid maximum NAV৳443,253
Nearby profitable settings25/25
Neighbour median NAV৳376,531
One extra session delay৳260,512

Stops and maximum holding periods varied by ±10% and ±20%. 25/25 nearby settings also had positive recent stress returns. Nearby full-history NAV ranged from ৳262,794 to ৳443,253. This is parameter sensitivity on the same historical data, not independent validation.

1× modeled trading costs৳443,253
1.5× modeled trading costs৳408,239
2× modeled trading costs৳377,450
3× modeled trading costs৳322,271

1,105,920 grid accounts and 352 detailed finalist ledgers checked. Reconciliation failures: 0.

Choose profit with more trades

Jump to the highest historical NAV that meets a minimum completed-position count. The saved frontier covers this trade-off.

Profit versus completed positions

Each dot is a finalist. Horizontal = full-history completed positions; vertical = full-history net return. Select a dot to inspect it.

0% return343.3% net return0 positions465 positions

Teal: positive recent stress return. Rose: zero or negative recent stress return.

The trade count–profit frontier

These 72 grid candidates cannot be beaten on both historical NAV and completed positions by another grid candidate. More positions often reduce profit.

Compare every trade-off and open its fills
Completed positionsFull-history NAVRecent stress NAVInspect
465৳479৳19,237Rules & trades →
459৳570৳19,289Rules & trades →
455৳608৳30,525Rules & trades →
454৳696৳29,045Rules & trades →
452৳696৳19,289Rules & trades →
415৳713৳19,289Rules & trades →
411৳717৳19,289Rules & trades →
405৳1,133৳19,289Rules & trades →
404৳1,549৳19,289Rules & trades →
402৳1,771৳19,289Rules & trades →
372৳2,015৳19,289Rules & trades →
371৳2,622৳19,289Rules & trades →
363৳2,910৳19,289Rules & trades →
343৳2,924৳20,089Rules & trades →
335৳3,181৳47,792Rules & trades →
333৳4,607৳37,882Rules & trades →
329৳5,476৳37,882Rules & trades →
313৳5,574৳30,360Rules & trades →
310৳6,173৳43,102Rules & trades →
303৳8,989৳39,010Rules & trades →
300৳9,801৳38,916Rules & trades →
295৳12,981৳32,156Rules & trades →
292৳13,676৳41,873Rules & trades →
260৳13,883৳26,610Rules & trades →
259৳15,710৳26,610Rules & trades →
257৳15,781৳30,307Rules & trades →
256৳16,033৳45,581Rules & trades →
255৳19,080৳30,307Rules & trades →
208৳20,877৳36,159Rules & trades →
198৳22,131৳53,195Rules & trades →
196৳25,143৳33,095Rules & trades →
187৳33,566৳58,245Rules & trades →
186৳34,489৳53,071Rules & trades →
167৳35,171৳40,802Rules & trades →
165৳37,440৳37,845Rules & trades →
161৳42,263৳74,918Rules & trades →
158৳44,043৳78,126Rules & trades →
157৳53,519৳74,918Rules & trades →
154৳56,264৳44,128Rules & trades →
153৳62,778৳49,942Rules & trades →
147৳65,022৳64,084Rules & trades →
137৳73,649৳47,943Rules & trades →
136৳78,632৳50,001Rules & trades →
135৳80,826৳50,473Rules & trades →
129৳99,944৳52,622Rules & trades →
128৳100,941৳52,622Rules & trades →
119৳100,995৳43,038Rules & trades →
118৳101,946৳46,575Rules & trades →
117৳110,155৳49,557Rules & trades →
103৳133,375৳48,996Rules & trades →
102৳136,102৳55,284Rules & trades →
101৳138,379৳53,456Rules & trades →
98৳145,520৳54,043Rules & trades →
79৳150,242৳115,900Rules & trades →
78৳159,180৳120,816Rules & trades →
77৳160,935৳120,816Rules & trades →
76৳161,019৳120,816Rules & trades →
74৳181,538৳116,988Rules & trades →
73৳199,142৳121,853Rules & trades →
60৳200,452৳118,366Rules & trades →
48৳211,201৳128,871Rules & trades →
44৳221,072৳119,591Rules & trades →
39৳242,605৳130,354Rules & trades →
38৳272,593৳130,354Rules & trades →
37৳278,807৳126,439Rules & trades →
33৳291,973৳126,422Rules & trades →
32৳298,043৳122,630Rules & trades →
25৳341,394৳127,207Rules & trades →
24৳389,702৳129,084Rules & trades →
22৳402,891৳133,960Rules & trades →
17৳411,464৳119,509Rules & trades →
15৳443,253৳124,915Rules & trades →

#330 · MACD

Full-history NAV৳2,298

Net return -97.7% · drawdown 97.8% · 319 closed positions

2024 onward NAV৳41,978

Net return -58.0% · drawdown 58.1% · 60 closed positions

2024 stress NAV৳26,882

Net return -73.1% · drawdown 73.1% · 43 closed positions

Variant 1; fixed stop 10.0%; maximum 10 sessions; gate None; continuous signal; exit EMA 200 break; trailing arms at 2.0%, distance 1.0%; partial sale at 15.0% (0 = off).

Account reconciliation

Cash৳134
Unsettled৳2,164
Holdings৳0
NAV৳2,298
Realized P&L৳-97,702
Unrealized P&L৳0
Fees৳60,764
Friction৳27,929

NAV = cash + unsettled proceeds + marked holdings. Maximum reconciliation error: ৳9.91e-11. Normal replay: 0.44% commission plus 0.2% base friction per side, modeled impact and T+3. Stress doubles commission/base friction and uses T+5. These are research assumptions.

All fills for finalist #330

639 fills, including partial sales. Page 3.

DateSideSharesPriceFeesFrictionCash flowRealized P&L
2015-06-09SELL91324.3129.8559.3429,322.11-818
2015-06-14BUY87335128.2458.56-29,331.80
2015-06-22SELL87328.9125.957.4828,430.92-900.89
2015-07-02BUY86330.1124.9157.07-28,570.580
2015-07-08SELL86328124.1256.7128,027.18-543.4
2015-07-13BUY80346.9122.1155.78-27,929.880
2015-08-02SELL80330116.165326,230.84-1,699.04
2015-08-24BUY82316.5114.1952.18-26,119.380
2015-08-27SELL82321.511653.0626,193.9474.56
2015-09-01BUY83316.1115.4452.85-26,404.590
2015-09-06SELL83314.1114.7152.5825,903.01-501.59
2015-09-09BUY82313.211351.83-25,847.240
2015-09-14SELL82307.1110.850.825,020.6-826.64
2015-10-21BUY96258.9109.3650.02-25,013.780
2015-10-27SELL96250105.648.2923,846.11-1,167.67
2015-11-01BUY95250.8104.8348-23,978.830
2015-11-04SELL95249104.0847.6723,503.25-475.58
2015-11-09BUY93249.3102.0146.76-23,333.680
2015-11-12SELL93250102.346.9323,100.77-232.9
2015-11-17BUY92250.5101.446.58-23,193.990
2015-11-22SELL92252.2102.094723,053.31-140.68
2015-11-25BUY91252100.946.46-23,079.360
2015-11-30SELL91256.1102.5447.2723,155.2975.93
2015-12-03BUY84272100.5346.3-22,994.830
2015-12-08SELL8425794.9943.6721,449.34-1,545.49
2015-12-24BUY84253.593.6943.06-21,430.760
2015-12-29SELL8425493.8843.1821,198.95-231.81
2016-01-03BUY84253.493.6643.2-21,422.460
2016-01-06SELL8425293.1443.1221,031.74-390.71
2016-01-11BUY8225491.6442.53-20,962.170
2016-01-14SELL82256.692.5842.9220,905.7-56.47
2016-01-19BUY79263.391.5242.3-20,934.530
2016-01-24SELL7926692.4642.5420,879-55.53
2016-01-27BUY7726890.841.75-20,768.540
2016-02-01SELL7725787.0739.9919,661.93-1,106.61
2016-02-23BUY7625986.6139.87-19,810.480
2016-02-28SELL76256.285.6739.4319,346.1-464.38
2016-03-21BUY79240.583.638.39-19,121.490
2016-03-24SELL79235.281.7637.5518,461.49-659.99
2016-04-04BUY79233.181.0337.49-18,533.420
2016-04-07SELL79233.281.0637.5918,304.15-229.27
2016-04-12BUY78233.880.2437.21-18,353.850
2016-04-18SELL78235.980.9637.6518,281.59-72.25
2016-04-21BUY7524380.1937.2-18,342.390
2016-04-26SELL75251.983.1338.4118,770.96428.57
2016-05-02BUY7624581.9337.8-18,739.730
2016-05-05SELL7624782.638.1318,651.28-88.45
2016-05-10BUY73253.481.3937.51-18,617.10
2016-05-15SELL73251.180.6537.1418,212.51-404.59
2016-05-24BUY70256.779.0636.4-18,084.470
2016-05-29SELL70255.278.636.2217,749.18-335.29
2016-06-30BUY71251.778.6336.29-17,985.620
2016-07-12SELL71255.879.9136.8618,045.0259.41
2016-07-16BUY6925778.0335.99-17,847.020
2016-07-19SELL69259.478.7536.2717,783.58-63.44
2016-07-24BUY6726377.5335.6-17,734.140
2016-07-27SELL6727881.9537.5518,506.5772.36
2016-08-01BUY67276.681.5437.27-18,651.010
2016-08-16SELL6727179.8936.4918,040.62-610.39
2016-09-06BUY6726879.0136.32-18,071.330
2016-09-20SELL6726277.2435.6417,441.12-630.21
2016-09-25BUY65267.176.3935.28-17,473.170
2016-10-05SELL65271.4677.6435.7817,531.3658.19
2016-10-10BUY64269.875.9835-17,378.170
2016-10-25SELL64282.1579.4536.4617,941.68563.51
2016-10-30BUY6527779.2236.34-18,120.560
2016-11-09SELL65280.6780.2736.818,126.165.6
2016-11-20BUY63282.578.3135.85-17,911.660
2016-11-23SELL63288.68036.6118,065.19153.53
2016-11-28BUY6328679.2836.26-18,133.530
2016-12-12SELL6328478.7235.9917,777.29-356.25
2017-01-05BUY6129077.8435.64-17,803.480
2017-01-19SELL6129779.7136.4518,000.84197.36
2017-01-24BUY60298.578.836.01-18,024.810
2017-01-29SELL60305.580.6536.8118,212.53187.72
2017-02-02BUY59306.579.5736.32-18,199.390
2017-02-15SELL59317.282.3437.6118,594.61395.22
2017-02-20BUY58318.881.3637.15-18,608.910
2017-03-07SELL58310.679.2736.2417,899.3-709.61
2017-03-12BUY56318.778.5335.88-17,961.60
2017-03-27SELL56316.177.8935.6717,588.05-373.56
2017-03-30BUY5333076.9635.22-17,602.180
2017-04-04SELL53346.580.836.9418,246.76644.58
2017-04-09BUY5234578.9436.07-18,0550
2017-04-23SELL5233877.3335.3517,463.32-591.68
2017-05-28BUY5233476.4235.16-17,479.570
2017-06-11SELL52333.376.2635.0517,220.29-259.28
2017-06-21BUY51335.875.3534.57-17,235.720
2017-07-06SELL51353.1379.2436.2217,894.32658.6
2017-07-16BUY49365.178.7235.89-18,004.510
2017-07-19SELL49365.178.7235.8817,775.3-229.2
2017-07-24BUY4836777.5135.32-17,728.830
2017-07-30SELL48376.779.5636.2517,965.79236.95
2017-08-17BUY4638878.5335.82-17,962.350
2017-08-31SELL4639179.1436.1317,870.73-91.61
2017-09-07BUY45396.978.5935.9-17,974.980
2017-09-12SELL4542083.1637.9618,778.88803.9
2017-09-17BUY4441880.9236.92-18,509.850
2017-10-02SELL44412.379.8236.4118,024.97-484.88
2017-10-10BUY4342279.8436.44-18,262.280