← Strategy Research Lab
Experiment log · GP

Searching for profit that survives costs

1,105,920 unique configurations in this batch; 352 finalists received full and recent stress replays. Starting cash: ৳100,000. Data through 2026-10-13. Compute: local connected computer.

Full historical period: 2009-11-16 → 2026-10-13 (16.9 years). Selected finalist annualized return: -20.3%. This annualized figure describes the historical raw-price simulation.

All settings were tested for 6 fixed rule sets in the declared grid. The maximum is proven only within that finite historical grid. Full and recent-period results were used to select finalists, so those returns are in-sample. No global maximum across all possible strategies has been established. Corporate-action adjustments remain incomplete.

Verified finite search

Does the winner survive small changes?

Grid maximum NAV৳443,253
Nearby profitable settings25/25
Neighbour median NAV৳376,531
One extra session delay৳260,512

Stops and maximum holding periods varied by ±10% and ±20%. 25/25 nearby settings also had positive recent stress returns. Nearby full-history NAV ranged from ৳262,794 to ৳443,253. This is parameter sensitivity on the same historical data, not independent validation.

1× modeled trading costs৳443,253
1.5× modeled trading costs৳408,239
2× modeled trading costs৳377,450
3× modeled trading costs৳322,271

1,105,920 grid accounts and 352 detailed finalist ledgers checked. Reconciliation failures: 0.

Choose profit with more trades

Jump to the highest historical NAV that meets a minimum completed-position count. The saved frontier covers this trade-off.

Profit versus completed positions

Each dot is a finalist. Horizontal = full-history completed positions; vertical = full-history net return. Select a dot to inspect it.

0% return343.3% net return0 positions465 positions

Teal: positive recent stress return. Rose: zero or negative recent stress return.

The trade count–profit frontier

These 72 grid candidates cannot be beaten on both historical NAV and completed positions by another grid candidate. More positions often reduce profit.

Compare every trade-off and open its fills
Completed positionsFull-history NAVRecent stress NAVInspect
465৳479৳19,237Rules & trades →
459৳570৳19,289Rules & trades →
455৳608৳30,525Rules & trades →
454৳696৳29,045Rules & trades →
452৳696৳19,289Rules & trades →
415৳713৳19,289Rules & trades →
411৳717৳19,289Rules & trades →
405৳1,133৳19,289Rules & trades →
404৳1,549৳19,289Rules & trades →
402৳1,771৳19,289Rules & trades →
372৳2,015৳19,289Rules & trades →
371৳2,622৳19,289Rules & trades →
363৳2,910৳19,289Rules & trades →
343৳2,924৳20,089Rules & trades →
335৳3,181৳47,792Rules & trades →
333৳4,607৳37,882Rules & trades →
329৳5,476৳37,882Rules & trades →
313৳5,574৳30,360Rules & trades →
310৳6,173৳43,102Rules & trades →
303৳8,989৳39,010Rules & trades →
300৳9,801৳38,916Rules & trades →
295৳12,981৳32,156Rules & trades →
292৳13,676৳41,873Rules & trades →
260৳13,883৳26,610Rules & trades →
259৳15,710৳26,610Rules & trades →
257৳15,781৳30,307Rules & trades →
256৳16,033৳45,581Rules & trades →
255৳19,080৳30,307Rules & trades →
208৳20,877৳36,159Rules & trades →
198৳22,131৳53,195Rules & trades →
196৳25,143৳33,095Rules & trades →
187৳33,566৳58,245Rules & trades →
186৳34,489৳53,071Rules & trades →
167৳35,171৳40,802Rules & trades →
165৳37,440৳37,845Rules & trades →
161৳42,263৳74,918Rules & trades →
158৳44,043৳78,126Rules & trades →
157৳53,519৳74,918Rules & trades →
154৳56,264৳44,128Rules & trades →
153৳62,778৳49,942Rules & trades →
147৳65,022৳64,084Rules & trades →
137৳73,649৳47,943Rules & trades →
136৳78,632৳50,001Rules & trades →
135৳80,826৳50,473Rules & trades →
129৳99,944৳52,622Rules & trades →
128৳100,941৳52,622Rules & trades →
119৳100,995৳43,038Rules & trades →
118৳101,946৳46,575Rules & trades →
117৳110,155৳49,557Rules & trades →
103৳133,375৳48,996Rules & trades →
102৳136,102৳55,284Rules & trades →
101৳138,379৳53,456Rules & trades →
98৳145,520৳54,043Rules & trades →
79৳150,242৳115,900Rules & trades →
78৳159,180৳120,816Rules & trades →
77৳160,935৳120,816Rules & trades →
76৳161,019৳120,816Rules & trades →
74৳181,538৳116,988Rules & trades →
73৳199,142৳121,853Rules & trades →
60৳200,452৳118,366Rules & trades →
48৳211,201৳128,871Rules & trades →
44৳221,072৳119,591Rules & trades →
39৳242,605৳130,354Rules & trades →
38৳272,593৳130,354Rules & trades →
37৳278,807৳126,439Rules & trades →
33৳291,973৳126,422Rules & trades →
32৳298,043৳122,630Rules & trades →
25৳341,394৳127,207Rules & trades →
24৳389,702৳129,084Rules & trades →
22৳402,891৳133,960Rules & trades →
17৳411,464৳119,509Rules & trades →
15৳443,253৳124,915Rules & trades →

#332 · MACD

Full-history NAV৳2,164

Net return -97.8% · drawdown 97.9% · 323 closed positions

2024 onward NAV৳48,371

Net return -51.6% · drawdown 51.7% · 61 closed positions

2024 stress NAV৳22,242

Net return -77.8% · drawdown 77.8% · 46 closed positions

Variant 1; fixed stop 4.0%; maximum 5 sessions; gate None; continuous signal; exit EMA 200 break; trailing arms at 5.0%, distance 2.0%; partial sale at 0.0% (0 = off).

Account reconciliation

Cash৳240
Unsettled৳1,924
Holdings৳0
NAV৳2,164
Realized P&L৳-97,836
Unrealized P&L৳0
Fees৳63,661
Friction৳29,261

NAV = cash + unsettled proceeds + marked holdings. Maximum reconciliation error: ৳3.06e-10. Normal replay: 0.44% commission plus 0.2% base friction per side, modeled impact and T+3. Stress doubles commission/base friction and uses T+5. These are research assumptions.

All fills for finalist #332

646 fills, including partial sales. Page 2.

DateSideSharesPriceFeesFrictionCash flowRealized P&L
2013-02-11BUY224165.9163.5175.73-37,400.840
2013-02-14SELL224167.9165.4876.4737,367.65-33.19
2013-03-14BUY255145.9163.776.56-37,444.760
2013-03-20SELL255145.6163.3676.7936,887.85-556.91
2013-03-27BUY255144161.5776.41-36,957.980
2013-04-01SELL255146.2164.0477.9337,039.0381.05
2013-04-04BUY249147.4161.4976.56-36,940.650
2013-04-09SELL249146.5160.5176.0736,241.93-698.73
2013-04-15BUY246146.7158.7975.19-36,322.180
2013-04-18SELL246145.1157.0674.3935,463.15-859.03
2013-04-30BUY245143.8155.0273.77-35,459.790
2013-05-06SELL245145.9157.2875.2335,512.9953.2
2013-05-09BUY238148.3155.374.19-35,524.890
2013-05-14SELL238157.4164.8378.5737,217.81,692.91
2013-05-20BUY222166.2162.3476.54-37,135.290
2013-05-28SELL222168.1164.276.6537,077.35-57.94
2013-06-02BUY212173.9162.2175.28-37,104.30
2013-06-09SELL212176.5164.6475.8437,177.5273.22
2013-06-12BUY207178.1162.2174.57-37,103.490
2013-06-19SELL207177.4161.5874.2436,485.98-617.51
2013-06-26BUY190191.6160.1873.46-36,637.640
2013-07-02SELL190183.9153.7470.4134,716.85-1,920.79
2013-07-14BUY163211.5151.6969.25-34,695.440
2013-07-17SELL163232.5166.7576.0537,654.72,959.26
2013-08-21BUY190196.1163.9474.83-37,497.770
2013-08-26SELL190210.5175.9880.4439,738.582,240.81
2013-09-02BUY184214.7173.8279.37-39,757.990
2013-09-09SELL184204.3165.475.4537,350.35-2,407.64
2013-10-06BUY200185.7163.4274.85-37,378.270
2013-10-09SELL200179.2157.772.4235,609.88-1,768.39
2013-10-23BUY193183.2155.5771.89-35,585.060
2013-10-28SELL193189.3160.7574.4636,299.68714.62
2013-10-31BUY188192158.8273.65-36,328.480
2013-11-07SELL188202.4167.4377.4737,806.311,477.83
2013-11-12BUY193195165.5976.35-37,876.940
2013-11-19SELL193206.5175.3680.6739,598.471,721.53
2013-11-24BUY190206.6172.7279.14-39,505.860
2013-12-01SELL190200.5167.6276.7137,850.67-1,655.19
2013-12-10BUY184204.6165.6475.83-37,887.880
2013-12-18SELL184200.2162.0874.2336,600.48-1,287.39
2014-01-06BUY176206.4159.8473.59-36,559.830
2014-01-09SELL176208.7161.6274.4236,495.16-64.67
2014-01-15BUY178204.5160.1673.74-36,634.90
2014-01-22SELL178208.7163.4575.1936,909.96275.06
2014-01-27BUY171213.4160.5673.72-36,725.680
2014-02-03SELL171212.2159.6673.2136,053.33-672.35
2014-02-26BUY171210.4158.372.49-36,209.20
2014-03-04SELL171214.2161.1673.7236,393.31184.11
2014-03-09BUY165218.3158.4972.49-36,250.480
2014-03-16SELL165214.4155.6571.2235,149.13-1,101.35
2014-04-01BUY162215.7153.7570.43-35,167.580
2014-04-08SELL162247176.0680.5739,757.374,589.78
2014-04-16BUY155255.8174.4679.63-39,903.090
2014-04-21SELL155252.7172.3478.6438,917.52-985.57
2014-04-27BUY145265.8169.5877.31-38,787.890
2014-05-05SELL145267.9170.9277.9138,596.67-191.22
2014-06-01BUY139275.4168.4376.99-38,526.020
2014-06-05SELL139285.9174.8679.8939,485.35959.33
2014-06-10BUY137286.3172.5878.87-39,474.550
2014-06-17SELL137303.7183.0783.6141,340.221,865.67
2014-06-22BUY139296.5181.3482.79-41,477.630
2014-06-29SELL139294.7180.2482.2640,700.8-776.83
2014-08-04BUY130310.8177.7881.27-40,663.050
2014-08-11SELL130340194.4888.8143,916.713,253.66
2014-08-14BUY127344.2192.3487.77-43,993.510
2014-08-21SELL127330.3184.5784.1741,679.36-2,314.16
2014-09-04BUY122338.1181.4982.78-41,512.470
2014-09-11SELL122337.8181.3382.7940,947.48-564.99
2014-09-16BUY118345.7179.4981.96-41,054.050
2014-09-23SELL118380.7197.6690.2644,634.683,580.63
2014-09-29BUY113392.219589.01-44,602.610
2014-10-13SELL113374.7186.384.9842,069.82-2,532.79
2014-10-29BUY111374.6182.9583.44-41,8470
2014-11-05SELL111358.5175.0979.8739,538.54-2,308.46
2014-12-04BUY112352.6173.7679.65-39,744.610
2014-12-11SELL112363.1178.9482.1140,406.16661.55
2014-12-18BUY114350.8175.9680.77-40,247.930
2014-12-28SELL114357.8179.4782.5640,527.17279.24
2015-01-05BUY111362.5177.0581.44-40,495.980
2015-01-12SELL111355.9173.8280.1239,250.95-1,245.03
2015-02-05BUY115340172.0479.26-39,351.30
2015-02-12SELL115352.5178.3782.1340,277925.71
2015-02-17BUY115347.4175.7880.91-40,207.690
2015-02-22SELL115333.1168.5577.5138,060.44-2,147.25
2015-03-16BUY114334167.5377.08-38,320.610
2015-03-24SELL114336168.5477.4238,058.04-262.57
2015-03-30BUY105358.7165.7275.97-37,905.190
2015-04-06SELL105353163.0974.6136,827.31-1,077.88
2015-05-06BUY110333.9161.6174.16-36,964.770
2015-05-11SELL110330159.7273.336,066.98-897.79
2015-05-14BUY109326.9156.7871.96-35,860.840
2015-05-19SELL109333.8160.0973.5436,150.57289.73
2015-05-24BUY111326159.2273.12-36,418.340
2015-05-27SELL111329.9161.1273.9736,383.81-34.53
2015-06-04BUY109329.1157.8472.23-36,101.970
2015-06-09SELL109324.3155.5371.1635,122.01-979.96
2015-06-14BUY105335154.7770.75-35,400.520
2015-06-21SELL105330152.4669.6734,427.87-972.65
2015-07-02BUY103330.1149.668.42-34,218.320
2015-07-08SELL103328148.6567.9933,567.36-650.96