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Experiment log · GP

Searching for profit that survives costs

77,233 unique configurations in this batch; 70 finalists received full and recent stress replays. Starting cash: ৳100,000. Data through 2026-10-13. Compute: local connected computer.

Full historical period: 2009-11-16 → 2026-10-13 (16.9 years). Selected finalist annualized return: 4.5%. This annualized figure describes the historical raw-price simulation.

Selection used earlier periods; 2024–2026 was replayed afterward. That period was already exposed in earlier research, so it is not a pristine holdout. No global maximum across all possible strategies has been established. Corporate-action adjustments remain incomplete.

Choose profit with more trades

Jump to the highest historical NAV that meets a minimum completed-position count. The saved frontier covers this trade-off.

Profit versus completed positions

Each dot is a finalist. Horizontal = full-history completed positions; vertical = full-history net return. Select a dot to inspect it.

0% return148.6% net return0 positions462 positions

Teal: positive recent stress return. Rose: zero or negative recent stress return.

#45 · MACD + Flow: OBV

Full-history NAV৳209,816

Net return 109.8% · drawdown 28.4% · 56 closed positions

2024 onward NAV৳75,180

Net return -24.8% · drawdown 24.8% · 10 closed positions

2024 stress NAV৳61,263

Net return -38.7% · drawdown 38.8% · 10 closed positions

Variant 1; fixed stop 6.0%; maximum 90 sessions; gate None; fresh signal only; exit EMA 200 break; trailing arms at 12.0%, distance 2.0%; partial sale at 0.0% (0 = off).

Account reconciliation

Cash৳209,816
Unsettled৳0
Holdings৳0
NAV৳209,816
Realized P&L৳109,816
Unrealized P&L৳0
Fees৳95,337
Friction৳47,240

NAV = cash + unsettled proceeds + marked holdings. Maximum reconciliation error: ৳5.82e-11. Normal replay: 0.44% commission plus 0.2% base friction per side, modeled impact and T+3. Stress doubles commission/base friction and uses T+5. These are research assumptions.

All fills for finalist #45

116 fills, including partial sales. Page 2.

DateSideSharesPriceFeesFrictionCash flowRealized P&L
2024-08-20SELL7203531,118.3517.58252,524.12-23,566.83
2024-09-25BUY723347.11,104.19515.37-252,572.860
2024-10-07SELL723326.271,037.94483.92234,374.24-18,198.62
2024-12-04BUY718324.51,025.16501.67-234,517.830
2025-04-23SELL402319.6565.31288.84127,625.05-3,678.81
2025-04-24SELL316321446.32224.8100,764.88-2,449.1
2025-07-21BUY748303997.23537.53-228,178.760
2025-08-17SELL7483061,007.11497.83227,383.06-795.7
2026-01-21BUY854264.7994.64535.8-227,584.230
2026-01-26SELL854264.7994.64523.58224,535.59-3,048.65
2026-02-16BUY802278981.01495.48-224,432.490
2026-02-19SELL802267942.19472.11212,719.7-11,712.78
2026-06-18BUY840251.5929.54495.52-212,685.070
2026-06-23SELL840254.4940.26486.89212,268.85-416.22
2026-07-28BUY812259.8928.21472.6-212,358.410
2026-08-02SELL812260928.93479.63209,711.44-2,646.97