Net return 125.7% · drawdown 29.1% · 27 closed positions
Searching for profit that survives costs
77,233 unique configurations in this batch; 70 finalists received full and recent stress replays. Starting cash: ৳100,000. Data through 2026-10-13. Compute: local connected computer.
Full historical period: 2009-11-16 → 2026-10-13 (16.9 years). Selected finalist annualized return: 4.9%. This annualized figure describes the historical raw-price simulation.
Selection used earlier periods; 2024–2026 was replayed afterward. That period was already exposed in earlier research, so it is not a pristine holdout. No global maximum across all possible strategies has been established. Corporate-action adjustments remain incomplete.
Choose profit with more trades
Jump to the highest historical NAV that meets a minimum completed-position count. The saved frontier covers this trade-off.
Profit versus completed positions
Each dot is a finalist. Horizontal = full-history completed positions; vertical = full-history net return. Select a dot to inspect it.
Teal: positive recent stress return. Rose: zero or negative recent stress return.
#47 · MACD + Flow: OBV
Net return -17.4% · drawdown 18.5% · 3 closed positions
Net return -27.1% · drawdown 27.5% · 3 closed positions
Variant 1; fixed stop 6.0%; maximum 90 sessions; gate EMA 200; fresh signal only; exit EMA 200 break; trailing arms at 18.0%, distance 1.0%; partial sale at 20.0% (0 = off).
Account reconciliation
NAV = cash + unsettled proceeds + marked holdings. Maximum reconciliation error: ৳1.16e-10. Normal replay: 0.44% commission plus 0.2% base friction per side, modeled impact and T+3. Stress doubles commission/base friction and uses T+5. These are research assumptions.
All fills for finalist #47
60 fills, including partial sales. Page 1.
| Date | Side | Shares | Price | Fees | Friction | Cash flow | Realized P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010-12-22 | BUY | 368 | 269.9 | 437.02 | 200.35 | -99,960.58 | 0 |
| 2010-12-27 | SELL | 368 | 258.4 | 418.4 | 191.44 | 94,481.36 | -5,479.22 |
| 2012-06-04 | BUY | 461 | 203.6 | 412.98 | 191.32 | -94,463.9 | 0 |
| 2012-07-11 | SELL | 461 | 191.38 | 388.2 | 180.59 | 87,659.23 | -6,804.67 |
| 2012-07-22 | BUY | 437 | 199.4 | 383.41 | 177.78 | -87,698.99 | 0 |
| 2012-07-25 | SELL | 437 | 205.5 | 395.14 | 182.97 | 89,225.39 | 1,526.41 |
| 2013-06-12 | BUY | 497 | 178.1 | 389.47 | 181.86 | -89,087.03 | 0 |
| 2013-07-10 | SELL | 248 | 220.7 | 240.83 | 110.54 | 54,382.23 | 9,928.34 |
| 2013-07-11 | SELL | 249 | 217 | 237.75 | 108.89 | 53,686.36 | 9,053.22 |
| 2013-12-10 | BUY | 525 | 204.6 | 472.63 | 219.24 | -108,106.86 | 0 |
| 2014-04-08 | SELL | 262 | 247 | 284.74 | 130.85 | 64,298.41 | 10,347.94 |
| 2014-04-09 | SELL | 263 | 247.9 | 286.87 | 131.64 | 64,779.19 | 10,622.8 |
| 2014-04-27 | BUY | 482 | 265.8 | 563.71 | 258.75 | -128,938.06 | 0 |
| 2014-08-04 | SELL | 482 | 310.8 | 659.14 | 305.98 | 148,840.48 | 19,902.42 |
| 2014-09-04 | BUY | 438 | 338.1 | 651.59 | 299.79 | -149,039.18 | 0 |
| 2014-09-28 | SELL | 438 | 395.8 | 762.79 | 352.63 | 172,245.85 | 23,206.67 |
| 2015-02-12 | BUY | 485 | 352.5 | 752.24 | 360.72 | -172,075.45 | 0 |
| 2015-03-02 | SELL | 485 | 331.35 | 707.1 | 337.76 | 159,659.89 | -12,415.56 |
| 2015-07-09 | BUY | 476 | 333.5 | 698.48 | 326.35 | -159,770.83 | 0 |
| 2015-08-03 | SELL | 476 | 328.5 | 688.01 | 319.37 | 155,358.62 | -4,412.21 |
| 2016-07-20 | BUY | 587 | 263 | 679.28 | 341.27 | -155,401.54 | 0 |
| 2016-09-20 | SELL | 587 | 262 | 676.69 | 348.78 | 152,768.53 | -2,633.02 |
| 2016-09-25 | BUY | 568 | 267.1 | 667.54 | 346.07 | -152,726.41 | 0 |
| 2017-02-02 | SELL | 568 | 306.5 | 766 | 362.62 | 172,963.38 | 20,236.97 |
| 2017-02-12 | BUY | 559 | 307.1 | 755.34 | 358.81 | -172,783.06 | 0 |
| 2017-06-22 | SELL | 559 | 338.8 | 833.31 | 414.28 | 188,141.61 | 15,358.55 |
| 2017-07-16 | BUY | 512 | 365.1 | 822.5 | 386.14 | -188,139.84 | 0 |
| 2017-09-11 | SELL | 512 | 430 | 968.7 | 462.19 | 218,729.11 | 30,589.27 |
| 2017-10-10 | BUY | 515 | 422 | 956.25 | 455.63 | -218,741.88 | 0 |
| 2017-11-14 | SELL | 257 | 506.4 | 572.64 | 266.82 | 129,305.35 | 20,146.78 |
| 2017-11-15 | SELL | 258 | 500 | 567.6 | 263.53 | 128,168.87 | 18,585.56 |
| 2017-12-06 | BUY | 525 | 487 | 1,124.97 | 527.58 | -257,327.55 | 0 |
| 2018-04-17 | SELL | 525 | 485 | 1,120.35 | 551.35 | 252,953.3 | -4,374.26 |
| 2019-01-24 | BUY | 643 | 391.3 | 1,107.07 | 540.35 | -253,253.32 | 0 |
| 2019-02-13 | SELL | 643 | 388 | 1,097.73 | 518.91 | 247,867.36 | -5,385.96 |
| 2019-02-27 | BUY | 624 | 394.5 | 1,083.14 | 508.87 | -247,760.01 | 0 |
| 2019-03-05 | SELL | 505 | 394 | 875.47 | 411.5 | 197,683.03 | -2,827.87 |
| 2019-03-06 | SELL | 119 | 391.6 | 205.04 | 94.02 | 46,301.34 | -947.76 |
| 2019-03-13 | BUY | 619 | 391.7 | 1,066.83 | 511.19 | -244,040.32 | 0 |
| 2019-03-19 | SELL | 619 | 389 | 1,059.48 | 510.89 | 239,220.63 | -4,819.69 |
| 2019-09-24 | BUY | 653 | 363.9 | 1,045.56 | 513.06 | -239,185.32 | 0 |
| 2019-09-29 | SELL | 653 | 360 | 1,034.35 | 502.03 | 233,543.62 | -5,641.7 |
| 2020-08-24 | BUY | 787 | 295 | 1,021.53 | 481.48 | -233,668.01 | 0 |
| 2020-09-14 | SELL | 787 | 350.26 | 1,212.89 | 574.15 | 273,869.16 | 40,201.15 |
| 2020-10-14 | BUY | 817 | 333 | 1,197.07 | 595.91 | -273,853.98 | 0 |
| 2021-02-23 | SELL | 817 | 349 | 1,254.59 | 615.73 | 283,262.68 | 9,408.71 |
| 2021-06-13 | BUY | 801 | 351 | 1,237.06 | 634.74 | -283,022.8 | 0 |
| 2021-10-27 | SELL | 801 | 356 | 1,254.69 | 624.95 | 283,276.36 | 253.56 |
| 2022-01-13 | BUY | 788 | 357.1 | 1,238.14 | 673.24 | -283,306.17 | 0 |
| 2022-01-30 | SELL | 647 | 352 | 1,002.07 | 526.92 | 226,215.01 | -6,398.05 |
| 2022-01-31 | SELL | 141 | 356.2 | 220.99 | 103.87 | 49,899.34 | -793.77 |
| 2022-02-07 | BUY | 772 | 355.3 | 1,206.88 | 676.66 | -276,175.14 | 0 |
| 2022-02-22 | SELL | 772 | 355.8 | 1,208.58 | 679.26 | 272,789.75 | -3,385.39 |
| 2024-08-15 | BUY | 712 | 381 | 1,193.6 | 557.51 | -273,023.1 | 0 |
| 2024-08-20 | SELL | 712 | 353 | 1,105.88 | 511.72 | 249,718.4 | -23,304.71 |
| 2024-09-25 | BUY | 714 | 347.1 | 1,090.45 | 508.78 | -249,428.63 | 0 |
| 2024-10-07 | SELL | 714 | 326.27 | 1,025.02 | 477.74 | 231,456.87 | -17,971.76 |
| 2024-12-04 | BUY | 709 | 324.5 | 1,012.31 | 494.94 | -231,577.75 | 0 |
| 2025-04-23 | SELL | 402 | 319.6 | 565.31 | 288.84 | 127,625.05 | -3,678.56 |
| 2025-04-24 | SELL | 307 | 321 | 433.61 | 217.79 | 97,895.6 | -2,378.55 |