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Experiment log · GP

Searching for profit that survives costs

1,105,920 unique configurations in this batch; 352 finalists received full and recent stress replays. Starting cash: ৳100,000. Data through 2026-10-13. Compute: local connected computer.

Full historical period: 2009-11-16 → 2026-10-13 (16.9 years). Selected finalist annualized return: 6.0%. This annualized figure describes the historical raw-price simulation.

All settings were tested for 6 fixed rule sets in the declared grid. The maximum is proven only within that finite historical grid. Full and recent-period results were used to select finalists, so those returns are in-sample. No global maximum across all possible strategies has been established. Corporate-action adjustments remain incomplete.

Verified finite search

Does the winner survive small changes?

Grid maximum NAV৳443,253
Nearby profitable settings25/25
Neighbour median NAV৳376,531
One extra session delay৳260,512

Stops and maximum holding periods varied by ±10% and ±20%. 25/25 nearby settings also had positive recent stress returns. Nearby full-history NAV ranged from ৳262,794 to ৳443,253. This is parameter sensitivity on the same historical data, not independent validation.

1× modeled trading costs৳443,253
1.5× modeled trading costs৳408,239
2× modeled trading costs৳377,450
3× modeled trading costs৳322,271

1,105,920 grid accounts and 352 detailed finalist ledgers checked. Reconciliation failures: 0.

Choose profit with more trades

Jump to the highest historical NAV that meets a minimum completed-position count. The saved frontier covers this trade-off.

Profit versus completed positions

Each dot is a finalist. Horizontal = full-history completed positions; vertical = full-history net return. Select a dot to inspect it.

0% return343.3% net return0 positions465 positions

Teal: positive recent stress return. Rose: zero or negative recent stress return.

The trade count–profit frontier

These 72 grid candidates cannot be beaten on both historical NAV and completed positions by another grid candidate. More positions often reduce profit.

Compare every trade-off and open its fills
Completed positionsFull-history NAVRecent stress NAVInspect
465৳479৳19,237Rules & trades →
459৳570৳19,289Rules & trades →
455৳608৳30,525Rules & trades →
454৳696৳29,045Rules & trades →
452৳696৳19,289Rules & trades →
415৳713৳19,289Rules & trades →
411৳717৳19,289Rules & trades →
405৳1,133৳19,289Rules & trades →
404৳1,549৳19,289Rules & trades →
402৳1,771৳19,289Rules & trades →
372৳2,015৳19,289Rules & trades →
371৳2,622৳19,289Rules & trades →
363৳2,910৳19,289Rules & trades →
343৳2,924৳20,089Rules & trades →
335৳3,181৳47,792Rules & trades →
333৳4,607৳37,882Rules & trades →
329৳5,476৳37,882Rules & trades →
313৳5,574৳30,360Rules & trades →
310৳6,173৳43,102Rules & trades →
303৳8,989৳39,010Rules & trades →
300৳9,801৳38,916Rules & trades →
295৳12,981৳32,156Rules & trades →
292৳13,676৳41,873Rules & trades →
260৳13,883৳26,610Rules & trades →
259৳15,710৳26,610Rules & trades →
257৳15,781৳30,307Rules & trades →
256৳16,033৳45,581Rules & trades →
255৳19,080৳30,307Rules & trades →
208৳20,877৳36,159Rules & trades →
198৳22,131৳53,195Rules & trades →
196৳25,143৳33,095Rules & trades →
187৳33,566৳58,245Rules & trades →
186৳34,489৳53,071Rules & trades →
167৳35,171৳40,802Rules & trades →
165৳37,440৳37,845Rules & trades →
161৳42,263৳74,918Rules & trades →
158৳44,043৳78,126Rules & trades →
157৳53,519৳74,918Rules & trades →
154৳56,264৳44,128Rules & trades →
153৳62,778৳49,942Rules & trades →
147৳65,022৳64,084Rules & trades →
137৳73,649৳47,943Rules & trades →
136৳78,632৳50,001Rules & trades →
135৳80,826৳50,473Rules & trades →
129৳99,944৳52,622Rules & trades →
128৳100,941৳52,622Rules & trades →
119৳100,995৳43,038Rules & trades →
118৳101,946৳46,575Rules & trades →
117৳110,155৳49,557Rules & trades →
103৳133,375৳48,996Rules & trades →
102৳136,102৳55,284Rules & trades →
101৳138,379৳53,456Rules & trades →
98৳145,520৳54,043Rules & trades →
79৳150,242৳115,900Rules & trades →
78৳159,180৳120,816Rules & trades →
77৳160,935৳120,816Rules & trades →
76৳161,019৳120,816Rules & trades →
74৳181,538৳116,988Rules & trades →
73৳199,142৳121,853Rules & trades →
60৳200,452৳118,366Rules & trades →
48৳211,201৳128,871Rules & trades →
44৳221,072৳119,591Rules & trades →
39৳242,605৳130,354Rules & trades →
38৳272,593৳130,354Rules & trades →
37৳278,807৳126,439Rules & trades →
33৳291,973৳126,422Rules & trades →
32৳298,043৳122,630Rules & trades →
25৳341,394৳127,207Rules & trades →
24৳389,702৳129,084Rules & trades →
22৳402,891৳133,960Rules & trades →
17৳411,464৳119,509Rules & trades →
15৳443,253৳124,915Rules & trades →

#53 · Kalman milestone + Flow: NVI + Flow: Signed imbalance

Full-history NAV৳269,024

Net return 169.0% · drawdown 33.5% · 35 closed positions

2024 onward NAV৳137,244

Net return 37.2% · drawdown 14.9% · 4 closed positions

2024 stress NAV৳133,361

Net return 33.4% · drawdown 16.2% · 3 closed positions

Variant 1; fixed stop 6.0%; maximum 60 sessions; gate EMA 50; continuous signal; exit stop/time only; trailing arms at 18.0%, distance 6.0%; partial sale at 0.0% (0 = off).

Account reconciliation

Cash৳269,024
Unsettled৳0
Holdings৳0
NAV৳269,024
Realized P&L৳169,024
Unrealized P&L৳0
Fees৳52,422
Friction৳25,377

NAV = cash + unsettled proceeds + marked holdings. Maximum reconciliation error: ৳1.16e-10. Normal replay: 0.44% commission plus 0.2% base friction per side, modeled impact and T+3. Stress doubles commission/base friction and uses T+5. These are research assumptions.

All fills for finalist #53

70 fills, including partial sales. Page 1.

DateSideSharesPriceFeesFrictionCash flowRealized P&L
2010-12-23BUY376263.8436.43199.91-99,825.140
2010-12-28SELL376251.9416.74190.6494,107.02-5,718.12
2011-07-04BUY577162.1411.54191.14-94,134.380
2011-07-25SELL577205.6521.98239.58117,869.6423,735.26
2011-10-30BUY755155.2515.57240.71-117,932.290
2012-02-01SELL755151.1501.95232.4113,346.15-4,586.14
2012-03-20BUY652172.8495.73230.5-113,391.830
2012-04-29SELL652213.2611.63280.55138,114.2224,722.39
2012-11-01BUY787174.2603.22289.97-137,988.590
2013-01-30SELL787168.4583.14299.28131,648.38-6,340.2
2013-02-07BUY769170.1575.55281.67-131,664.120
2013-02-25SELL769150.6509.57242.2115,059.63-16,604.5
2013-05-15BUY739154.7503.02261.15-115,087.470
2013-06-09SELL739176.5573.91273.08129,586.5214,499.04
2013-06-12BUY723178.1566.57267.76-129,600.630
2013-07-14SELL723211.5672.82311.83151,929.8522,329.22
2013-07-18BUY782193.1664.42305.71-151,974.330
2013-07-23SELL782175602.14276.33135,971.53-16,002.8
2013-08-22BUY664203.4594.25274.66-135,926.510
2013-09-15SELL664191.2558.6256.67126,138.87-9,787.64
2013-11-05BUY644194.6551.42265.99-126,139.810
2014-02-04SELL644210.1595.34279.68134,429.388,289.57
2014-03-03BUY606220.3587.41273.64-134,362.850
2014-04-16SELL606255.68681.75315.02153,945.3119,582.46
2014-04-27BUY576265.8673.64309.79-154,084.240
2014-07-23SELL576297.7754.49352.77170,367.9416,283.7
2014-08-04BUY544310.8743.93346.26-170,165.390
2014-09-30SELL544381.9914.12423.84206,415.6436,250.25
2015-02-12BUY582352.5902.68437.37-206,495.050
2015-03-02SELL582331.35848.52409.23191,587.95-14,907.11
2015-03-29BUY547348837.57398.72-191,592.290
2015-04-23SELL547327.12787.31368.76177,778.56-13,813.73
2015-12-02BUY652271.1777.73392.7-177,927.630
2015-12-07SELL652254.83731.07364.3165,056.4-12,871.23
2016-01-19BUY622263.3720.6371.09-164,864.280
2016-03-02SELL622244.1668.05328.76150,833.39-14,030.9
2016-04-25BUY600250660343.76-151,003.760
2016-07-26SELL600269.1710.42349.59160,399.999,396.22
2016-11-21BUY555287.1701.1338.88-160,380.480
2017-02-15SELL555320781.44371.3176,447.2616,066.78
2017-07-05BUY493355770.07369.66-176,154.730
2017-09-18SELL493408.9886.99420.06200,280.6524,125.93
2018-01-24BUY395503.8875.6413.54-200,290.140
2018-02-25SELL395473.57823.07385.25185,852.62-14,437.52
2018-04-22BUY377490812.81391.41-185,934.230
2018-05-08SELL377460.6764.04360.69172,521.46-13,412.76
2018-10-28BUY448383754.97365.87-172,704.840
2018-11-19SELL448360.02709.67347.6160,231.69-12,473.15
2019-01-01BUY430370700.04350.57-160,150.610
2019-04-01SELL430409.2774.21370.24174,811.5614,660.94
2019-09-24BUY477363.9763.75367.33-174,711.390
2019-10-07SELL477342.07717.93342.64162,104.92-12,606.47
2020-07-22BUY654246.5709.33346.86-162,267.190
2020-08-18SELL654280.12806.07377.71182,014.719,747.51
2020-08-25BUY599301.7795.16371.45-181,884.910
2020-11-19SELL599328.8866.59434.63195,649.9813,765.07
2020-12-09BUY582334.1855.56424.95-195,726.710
2021-03-08SELL582343.8880.4424.14198,787.053,060.34
2021-05-25BUY579341.1868.99433.17-198,799.060
2021-09-02SELL579362.5923.51446.04208,517.959,718.89
2022-01-13BUY580357.1911.32474.07-208,503.390
2022-03-02SELL580335.67856.64449.39193,384.89-15,118.5
2024-06-27BUY813236.2844.93460.02-193,335.550
2024-08-15SELL8133811,362.91639.01307,751.07114,415.52
2024-08-20BUY8663531,345.07624.79-307,667.860
2024-08-25SELL8663541,348.88624.37304,590.74-3,077.12
2026-02-01BUY1,133267.11,331.55717.21-304,673.060
2026-03-05SELL1,133245.31,222.87624.9276,077.13-28,595.93
2026-06-11BUY730251806.21423.81-184,460.020
2026-09-08SELL730244.4785.01408.34177,218.65-7,241.38