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Experiment log · GP

Searching for profit that survives costs

1,105,920 unique configurations in this batch; 352 finalists received full and recent stress replays. Starting cash: ৳100,000. Data through 2026-10-13. Compute: local connected computer.

Full historical period: 2009-11-16 → 2026-10-13 (16.9 years). Selected finalist annualized return: 5.8%. This annualized figure describes the historical raw-price simulation.

All settings were tested for 6 fixed rule sets in the declared grid. The maximum is proven only within that finite historical grid. Full and recent-period results were used to select finalists, so those returns are in-sample. No global maximum across all possible strategies has been established. Corporate-action adjustments remain incomplete.

Verified finite search

Does the winner survive small changes?

Grid maximum NAV৳443,253
Nearby profitable settings25/25
Neighbour median NAV৳376,531
One extra session delay৳260,512

Stops and maximum holding periods varied by ±10% and ±20%. 25/25 nearby settings also had positive recent stress returns. Nearby full-history NAV ranged from ৳262,794 to ৳443,253. This is parameter sensitivity on the same historical data, not independent validation.

1× modeled trading costs৳443,253
1.5× modeled trading costs৳408,239
2× modeled trading costs৳377,450
3× modeled trading costs৳322,271

1,105,920 grid accounts and 352 detailed finalist ledgers checked. Reconciliation failures: 0.

Choose profit with more trades

Jump to the highest historical NAV that meets a minimum completed-position count. The saved frontier covers this trade-off.

Profit versus completed positions

Each dot is a finalist. Horizontal = full-history completed positions; vertical = full-history net return. Select a dot to inspect it.

0% return343.3% net return0 positions465 positions

Teal: positive recent stress return. Rose: zero or negative recent stress return.

The trade count–profit frontier

These 72 grid candidates cannot be beaten on both historical NAV and completed positions by another grid candidate. More positions often reduce profit.

Compare every trade-off and open its fills
Completed positionsFull-history NAVRecent stress NAVInspect
465৳479৳19,237Rules & trades →
459৳570৳19,289Rules & trades →
455৳608৳30,525Rules & trades →
454৳696৳29,045Rules & trades →
452৳696৳19,289Rules & trades →
415৳713৳19,289Rules & trades →
411৳717৳19,289Rules & trades →
405৳1,133৳19,289Rules & trades →
404৳1,549৳19,289Rules & trades →
402৳1,771৳19,289Rules & trades →
372৳2,015৳19,289Rules & trades →
371৳2,622৳19,289Rules & trades →
363৳2,910৳19,289Rules & trades →
343৳2,924৳20,089Rules & trades →
335৳3,181৳47,792Rules & trades →
333৳4,607৳37,882Rules & trades →
329৳5,476৳37,882Rules & trades →
313৳5,574৳30,360Rules & trades →
310৳6,173৳43,102Rules & trades →
303৳8,989৳39,010Rules & trades →
300৳9,801৳38,916Rules & trades →
295৳12,981৳32,156Rules & trades →
292৳13,676৳41,873Rules & trades →
260৳13,883৳26,610Rules & trades →
259৳15,710৳26,610Rules & trades →
257৳15,781৳30,307Rules & trades →
256৳16,033৳45,581Rules & trades →
255৳19,080৳30,307Rules & trades →
208৳20,877৳36,159Rules & trades →
198৳22,131৳53,195Rules & trades →
196৳25,143৳33,095Rules & trades →
187৳33,566৳58,245Rules & trades →
186৳34,489৳53,071Rules & trades →
167৳35,171৳40,802Rules & trades →
165৳37,440৳37,845Rules & trades →
161৳42,263৳74,918Rules & trades →
158৳44,043৳78,126Rules & trades →
157৳53,519৳74,918Rules & trades →
154৳56,264৳44,128Rules & trades →
153৳62,778৳49,942Rules & trades →
147৳65,022৳64,084Rules & trades →
137৳73,649৳47,943Rules & trades →
136৳78,632৳50,001Rules & trades →
135৳80,826৳50,473Rules & trades →
129৳99,944৳52,622Rules & trades →
128৳100,941৳52,622Rules & trades →
119৳100,995৳43,038Rules & trades →
118৳101,946৳46,575Rules & trades →
117৳110,155৳49,557Rules & trades →
103৳133,375৳48,996Rules & trades →
102৳136,102৳55,284Rules & trades →
101৳138,379৳53,456Rules & trades →
98৳145,520৳54,043Rules & trades →
79৳150,242৳115,900Rules & trades →
78৳159,180৳120,816Rules & trades →
77৳160,935৳120,816Rules & trades →
76৳161,019৳120,816Rules & trades →
74৳181,538৳116,988Rules & trades →
73৳199,142৳121,853Rules & trades →
60৳200,452৳118,366Rules & trades →
48৳211,201৳128,871Rules & trades →
44৳221,072৳119,591Rules & trades →
39৳242,605৳130,354Rules & trades →
38৳272,593৳130,354Rules & trades →
37৳278,807৳126,439Rules & trades →
33৳291,973৳126,422Rules & trades →
32৳298,043৳122,630Rules & trades →
25৳341,394৳127,207Rules & trades →
24৳389,702৳129,084Rules & trades →
22৳402,891৳133,960Rules & trades →
17৳411,464৳119,509Rules & trades →
15৳443,253৳124,915Rules & trades →

#56 · Kalman milestone + Flow: NVI + Flow: Signed imbalance

Full-history NAV৳260,889

Net return 160.9% · drawdown 38.5% · 37 closed positions

2024 onward NAV৳141,518

Net return 41.5% · drawdown 12.8% · 4 closed positions

2024 stress NAV৳137,509

Net return 37.5% · drawdown 14.0% · 3 closed positions

Variant 1; fixed stop 6.0%; maximum 45 sessions; gate EMA 50; continuous signal; exit stop/time only; trailing arms at 18.0%, distance 6.0%; partial sale at 0.0% (0 = off).

Account reconciliation

Cash৳260,889
Unsettled৳0
Holdings৳0
NAV৳260,889
Realized P&L৳160,889
Unrealized P&L৳0
Fees৳55,777
Friction৳26,933

NAV = cash + unsettled proceeds + marked holdings. Maximum reconciliation error: ৳8.73e-11. Normal replay: 0.44% commission plus 0.2% base friction per side, modeled impact and T+3. Stress doubles commission/base friction and uses T+5. These are research assumptions.

All fills for finalist #56

74 fills, including partial sales. Page 1.

DateSideSharesPriceFeesFrictionCash flowRealized P&L
2010-12-23BUY376263.8436.43199.91-99,825.140
2010-12-28SELL376251.9416.74190.6494,107.02-5,718.12
2011-07-04BUY577162.1411.54191.14-94,134.380
2011-07-25SELL577205.6521.98239.58117,869.6423,735.26
2011-10-30BUY755155.2515.57240.71-117,932.290
2012-01-10SELL755172.5573.05266.96129,397.511,465.21
2012-03-20BUY744172.8565.68263.86-129,392.740
2012-04-29SELL744213.2697.93320.54157,602.3328,209.59
2012-11-01BUY899174.2689.07333.8-157,628.660
2013-01-09SELL899170.9676.01337.56152,625.53-5,003.13
2013-02-07BUY891170.1666.86330.04-152,5560
2013-02-25SELL891150.6590.41282.57133,311.61-19,244.39
2013-05-15BUY856154.7582.66308.46-133,314.320
2013-06-09SELL856176.5664.77318.55150,100.6816,786.36
2013-06-12BUY838178.1656.69312.23-150,216.720
2013-07-14SELL838211.5779.84362.53176,094.6325,877.9
2013-07-18BUY906193.1769.77354.86-176,073.240
2013-07-23SELL906175697.62320.63157,531.75-18,541.49
2013-08-22BUY769203.4688.22318.92-157,421.740
2013-09-15SELL769191.2646.93297.77146,085.02-11,336.72
2013-11-05BUY746194.6638.76310.94-146,121.290
2014-01-13SELL746205.9675.85324.19152,601.366,480.07
2014-01-27BUY710213.4666.66315.71-152,496.370
2014-02-11SELL710200.6626.66293.53141,502.97-10,993.4
2014-03-03BUY639220.3619.4288.92-141,680.020
2014-04-16SELL639255.68718.87332.47162,328.1820,648.16
2014-04-27BUY606265.8708.73326.13-162,109.660
2014-07-02SELL606296.1789.52365.82178,281.2516,171.6
2014-08-04BUY570310.8779.49363.22-178,298.70
2014-09-30SELL570381.9957.81444.52216,280.6837,981.97
2015-02-12BUY610352.5946.11459.78-216,430.890
2015-03-02SELL610331.35889.34430.1200,804.05-15,626.84
2015-03-29BUY573348877.38418.57-200,699.950
2015-04-23SELL573327.12824.73386.83186,228.19-14,471.76
2015-12-02BUY683271.1814.71413.32-186,389.330
2015-12-07SELL683254.83765.83383.22172,902.58-13,486.75
2016-01-19BUY652263.3755.36391.18-172,818.140
2016-03-02SELL652244.1700.27345.88158,107.04-14,711.1
2016-04-25BUY628250690.8361.94-158,052.740
2016-06-29SELL628253.9701.58364.87158,382.76330.01
2016-11-21BUY548287.1692.26334.36-158,357.410
2017-01-25SELL548306.3738.55350.19166,763.668,406.25
2017-07-05BUY467355729.45349.18-166,863.640
2017-09-11SELL467430883.56419.81199,506.6332,642.99
2018-01-24BUY393503.8871.17411.36-199,275.930
2018-02-25SELL393473.57818.9383.25184,911.65-14,364.29
2018-04-22BUY375490808.5389.22-184,947.720
2018-05-08SELL375460.6759.99358.71171,606.3-13,341.42
2018-10-28BUY445383749.91363.27-171,548.180
2018-11-19SELL445360.02704.92345.11159,158.88-12,389.31
2019-01-01BUY428370696.78348.79-159,405.580
2019-03-07SELL428390734.45345.3165,840.256,434.67
2019-03-25BUY410401.4724.13344.58-165,642.710
2019-04-07SELL410377.32680.68320.44153,698.44-11,944.26
2019-09-24BUY420363.9672.49321.32-153,831.80
2019-10-07SELL420342.07632.14299.98142,735.61-11,096.2
2020-07-22BUY575246.5623.65302.37-142,663.510
2020-08-18SELL575280.12708.7330.88160,029.4117,365.9
2020-08-25BUY527301.7699.58325.75-160,021.230
2020-10-29SELL527329.5764.04372.57172,509.8812,488.65
2020-12-09BUY513334.1754.13370.8-172,518.230
2021-02-14SELL513373841.94401.5190,105.5717,587.34
2021-05-25BUY554341.1831.47412.89-190,213.760
2021-08-11SELL554360877.54421.71198,140.757,927
2022-01-13BUY551357.1865.75447.52-198,075.380
2022-03-02SELL551335.67813.81424.07183,718.5-14,356.88
2024-06-27BUY773236.2803.36433.83-183,819.80
2024-08-15SELL7733811,295.86606.66292,610.48108,790.68
2024-08-20BUY8233531,278.28593.13-292,390.420
2024-08-25SELL8233541,281.9592.84289,467.25-2,923.16
2026-02-01BUY1,077267.11,265.73676.5-289,608.930
2026-03-05SELL1,077245.31,162.43590.77262,434.9-27,174.03
2026-06-11BUY730251806.21423.81-184,460.020
2026-08-17SELL730252809.42407.66182,742.92-1,717.11