← Strategy Research Lab
Experiment log · GP

Searching for profit that survives costs

1,105,920 unique configurations in this batch; 352 finalists received full and recent stress replays. Starting cash: ৳100,000. Data through 2026-10-13. Compute: local connected computer.

Full historical period: 2009-11-16 → 2026-10-13 (16.9 years). Selected finalist annualized return: 4.7%. This annualized figure describes the historical raw-price simulation.

All settings were tested for 6 fixed rule sets in the declared grid. The maximum is proven only within that finite historical grid. Full and recent-period results were used to select finalists, so those returns are in-sample. No global maximum across all possible strategies has been established. Corporate-action adjustments remain incomplete.

Verified finite search

Does the winner survive small changes?

Grid maximum NAV৳443,253
Nearby profitable settings25/25
Neighbour median NAV৳376,531
One extra session delay৳260,512

Stops and maximum holding periods varied by ±10% and ±20%. 25/25 nearby settings also had positive recent stress returns. Nearby full-history NAV ranged from ৳262,794 to ৳443,253. This is parameter sensitivity on the same historical data, not independent validation.

1× modeled trading costs৳443,253
1.5× modeled trading costs৳408,239
2× modeled trading costs৳377,450
3× modeled trading costs৳322,271

1,105,920 grid accounts and 352 detailed finalist ledgers checked. Reconciliation failures: 0.

Choose profit with more trades

Jump to the highest historical NAV that meets a minimum completed-position count. The saved frontier covers this trade-off.

Profit versus completed positions

Each dot is a finalist. Horizontal = full-history completed positions; vertical = full-history net return. Select a dot to inspect it.

0% return343.3% net return0 positions465 positions

Teal: positive recent stress return. Rose: zero or negative recent stress return.

The trade count–profit frontier

These 72 grid candidates cannot be beaten on both historical NAV and completed positions by another grid candidate. More positions often reduce profit.

Compare every trade-off and open its fills
Completed positionsFull-history NAVRecent stress NAVInspect
465৳479৳19,237Rules & trades →
459৳570৳19,289Rules & trades →
455৳608৳30,525Rules & trades →
454৳696৳29,045Rules & trades →
452৳696৳19,289Rules & trades →
415৳713৳19,289Rules & trades →
411৳717৳19,289Rules & trades →
405৳1,133৳19,289Rules & trades →
404৳1,549৳19,289Rules & trades →
402৳1,771৳19,289Rules & trades →
372৳2,015৳19,289Rules & trades →
371৳2,622৳19,289Rules & trades →
363৳2,910৳19,289Rules & trades →
343৳2,924৳20,089Rules & trades →
335৳3,181৳47,792Rules & trades →
333৳4,607৳37,882Rules & trades →
329৳5,476৳37,882Rules & trades →
313৳5,574৳30,360Rules & trades →
310৳6,173৳43,102Rules & trades →
303৳8,989৳39,010Rules & trades →
300৳9,801৳38,916Rules & trades →
295৳12,981৳32,156Rules & trades →
292৳13,676৳41,873Rules & trades →
260৳13,883৳26,610Rules & trades →
259৳15,710৳26,610Rules & trades →
257৳15,781৳30,307Rules & trades →
256৳16,033৳45,581Rules & trades →
255৳19,080৳30,307Rules & trades →
208৳20,877৳36,159Rules & trades →
198৳22,131৳53,195Rules & trades →
196৳25,143৳33,095Rules & trades →
187৳33,566৳58,245Rules & trades →
186৳34,489৳53,071Rules & trades →
167৳35,171৳40,802Rules & trades →
165৳37,440৳37,845Rules & trades →
161৳42,263৳74,918Rules & trades →
158৳44,043৳78,126Rules & trades →
157৳53,519৳74,918Rules & trades →
154৳56,264৳44,128Rules & trades →
153৳62,778৳49,942Rules & trades →
147৳65,022৳64,084Rules & trades →
137৳73,649৳47,943Rules & trades →
136৳78,632৳50,001Rules & trades →
135৳80,826৳50,473Rules & trades →
129৳99,944৳52,622Rules & trades →
128৳100,941৳52,622Rules & trades →
119৳100,995৳43,038Rules & trades →
118৳101,946৳46,575Rules & trades →
117৳110,155৳49,557Rules & trades →
103৳133,375৳48,996Rules & trades →
102৳136,102৳55,284Rules & trades →
101৳138,379৳53,456Rules & trades →
98৳145,520৳54,043Rules & trades →
79৳150,242৳115,900Rules & trades →
78৳159,180৳120,816Rules & trades →
77৳160,935৳120,816Rules & trades →
76৳161,019৳120,816Rules & trades →
74৳181,538৳116,988Rules & trades →
73৳199,142৳121,853Rules & trades →
60৳200,452৳118,366Rules & trades →
48৳211,201৳128,871Rules & trades →
44৳221,072৳119,591Rules & trades →
39৳242,605৳130,354Rules & trades →
38৳272,593৳130,354Rules & trades →
37৳278,807৳126,439Rules & trades →
33৳291,973৳126,422Rules & trades →
32৳298,043৳122,630Rules & trades →
25৳341,394৳127,207Rules & trades →
24৳389,702৳129,084Rules & trades →
22৳402,891৳133,960Rules & trades →
17৳411,464৳119,509Rules & trades →
15৳443,253৳124,915Rules & trades →

#77 · Kalman milestone + Flow: NVI

Full-history NAV৳215,634

Net return 115.6% · drawdown 32.8% · 44 closed positions

2024 onward NAV৳77,084

Net return -22.9% · drawdown 26.0% · 10 closed positions

2024 stress NAV৳71,246

Net return -28.8% · drawdown 31.2% · 8 closed positions

Variant 2; fixed stop 8.0%; maximum 120 sessions; gate None; fresh signal only; exit EMA 200 break; trailing arms at 12.0%, distance 4.5%; partial sale at 20.0% (0 = off).

Account reconciliation

Cash৳215,634
Unsettled৳0
Holdings৳0
NAV৳215,634
Realized P&L৳115,634
Unrealized P&L৳0
Fees৳75,231
Friction৳37,634

NAV = cash + unsettled proceeds + marked holdings. Maximum reconciliation error: ৳1.16e-10. Normal replay: 0.44% commission plus 0.2% base friction per side, modeled impact and T+3. Stress doubles commission/base friction and uses T+5. These are research assumptions.

All fills for finalist #77

97 fills, including partial sales. Page 1.

DateSideSharesPriceFeesFrictionCash flowRealized P&L
2010-12-23BUY376263.8436.43199.91-99,825.140
2010-12-28SELL376251.9416.74190.6494,107.02-5,718.12
2011-07-12BUY538174411.89190.21-94,214.10
2011-07-17SELL538177.1419.23193.294,667.37453.27
2011-10-30BUY606155.2413.83192.2-94,657.230
2011-11-02SELL606163434.62201.6398,141.753,484.53
2012-04-09BUY498195.9429.26197.28-98,184.730
2012-04-16SELL498211.53463.51212.46104,667.226,482.48
2013-02-10BUY618168.3457.64219.82-104,686.870
2013-02-13SELL618166.6453.02215.67102,290.11-2,396.76
2013-05-15BUY656154.7446.53228.58-102,158.30
2013-05-20SELL656166.2479.72242.07108,305.416,147.1
2013-05-30BUY620173.7473.85229.04-108,396.890
2013-06-27SELL620184501.95234.1113,343.954,947.06
2013-07-14BUY532211.5495.08228.28-113,241.360
2013-07-17SELL532232.5544.24250.11122,895.669,654.3
2013-08-27BUY582209.8537.26248.34-122,889.20
2013-09-15SELL582193.02494.28226.84111,614.2-11,275
2013-10-31BUY578192488.29235.76-111,700.050
2013-11-24SELL578206.6525.43244.72118,644.666,944.6
2014-01-21BUY568207.5518.58244.94-118,623.530
2014-04-08SELL284249311.15143.1370,261.7210,949.96
2014-04-09SELL284242.76303.35139.2768,501.59,189.73
2014-04-16BUY539255.8606.66279.82-138,762.680
2014-06-08SELL539284673.53312.56152,089.9113,327.23
2014-06-24BUY502300.9664.63306.77-152,023.20
2014-08-12SELL502330.9730.89337.61165,043.2913,020.09
2014-08-18BUY488335.8721.03332.35-164,923.780
2014-09-28SELL244402.96432.62198.5597,691.0815,229.19
2014-09-29SELL244390.59419.34192.3394,693.5112,231.62
2014-10-01BUY253384.2427.69196.06-97,826.350
2014-11-06SELL253353.3393.29180.3688,811.24-9,015.1
2015-12-02BUY672271.1801.59405.98-183,386.770
2015-12-07SELL672267.4790.65396.81178,505.34-4,881.43
2016-01-19BUY674263.3780.84406.05-178,651.10
2016-01-24SELL674266788.85396178,099.15-551.95
2016-11-21BUY616287.1778.16378.59-178,010.350
2017-04-03SELL308344.52466.89220.19105,425.0716,419.9
2017-04-12SELL308337.02456.73214.14103,131.1414,125.97
2017-07-11BUY595348.3911.85434.56-208,584.910
2017-09-10SELL297417.96546.19256.16123,331.7719,214.59
2017-09-12SELL298415.42544.71254.3122,997.6518,529.91
2018-08-29BUY625391.51,076.63536.86-246,300.980
2018-09-04SELL625385.61,060.4527.44239,412.16-6,888.83
2018-09-09BUY6193841,045.86518.52-239,260.380
2018-09-12SELL619380.21,035.51513.35233,794.94-5,465.44
2019-01-01BUY6283701,022.38533.77-233,916.160
2019-01-06SELL628367.71,016.03529.62229,369.96-4,546.2
2019-01-23BUY5833911,002.99488.45-229,444.440
2019-02-13SELL583388995.3468.8224,739.9-4,704.54
2020-07-26BUY890251982.92484.18-224,857.090
2020-07-29SELL890255998.58484.45225,466.97609.88
2020-08-09BUY878255985.12468.89-225,344.010
2020-08-13SELL8782901,120.33533.31252,966.3627,622.35
2020-08-18BUY8732881,106.27524.16-253,054.420
2020-09-09SELL436345.6663307.66149,710.9423,328.67
2020-09-20SELL437338.74651.33303.11147,074.2920,402.14
2020-12-14BUY8523461,297.08663.33-296,752.410
2021-01-06SELL852370.541,389.08680.25313,630.7516,878.34
2021-01-18BUY8263771,370.17667.65-313,439.820
2021-02-22SELL826346.841,260.56619.66284,609.63-28,830.19
2021-05-12BUY817346.21,244.52665.4-284,755.320
2021-09-14SELL817378.941,362.23681.14307,553.8822,798.56
2021-11-28BUY495360784.08418-179,402.080
2021-12-01SELL495359781.9419.05176,504.05-2,898.04
2021-12-13BUY7023581,105.79628.44-253,050.230
2021-12-19SELL696352.81,080.41604.98243,863.41-7,024
2021-12-20SELL6353.29.324.252,105.63-57.19
2022-01-13BUY828357.11,300.99713.3-297,693.090
2022-01-30SELL6473521,002.07526.92226,215.01-6,402.66
2022-01-31SELL181356.2283.68134.5864,053.94-1,021.48
2022-02-08BUY806357.41,267.48717.12-290,0490
2022-02-22SELL806355.81,261.81715.15284,797.84-5,251.16
2022-04-27BUY867326.41,245.15707.96-284,941.910
2022-05-08SELL327320.1460.56225.06103,987.08-3,482.36
2022-05-09SELL540321.1762.93389.95172,241.11-5,231.36
2024-06-27BUY1,072236.21,114.11638.48-254,958.990
2024-07-03SELL752239.9793.78418.35179,192.67340.84
2024-07-04SELL320240.2338.2164.3176,361.49254.33
2024-07-08BUY793251875.79463.65-200,382.440
2024-07-11SELL793247861.83447.62194,561.55-5,820.9
2024-08-15BUY7073811,185.21553.49-271,105.70
2024-08-20SELL707350.521,090.4504.44246,222.81-24,882.89
2025-09-03BUY785311.51,075.92555.07-246,158.490
2025-09-08SELL785308.51,065.56557.59240,549.35-5,609.14
2025-12-02BUY221279271.3138.58-62,068.880
2025-12-07SELL221278.5270.81138.4261,139.26-929.61
2026-02-03BUY899264.81,047.44541.38-239,644.020
2026-02-09SELL899262.41,037.95533.62234,326.03-5,317.99
2026-02-16BUY8372781,023.82519.36-234,229.180
2026-02-19SELL837267983.31494.71222,000.98-12,228.19
2026-06-22BUY856257.5969.85509.09-221,898.930
2026-06-25SELL856257.5969.85498.83218,951.32-2,947.61
2026-07-12BUY848256.6957.43480.69-219,034.910
2026-07-15SELL848259966.38483.46218,182.16-852.76
2026-07-28BUY834259.8953.36486.81-218,113.380
2026-08-02SELL834260954.1494.22215,391.68-2,721.69