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Experiment log · GP

Searching for profit that survives costs

1,105,920 unique configurations in this batch; 352 finalists received full and recent stress replays. Starting cash: ৳100,000. Data through 2026-10-13. Compute: local connected computer.

Full historical period: 2009-11-16 → 2026-10-13 (16.9 years). Selected finalist annualized return: 4.4%. This annualized figure describes the historical raw-price simulation.

All settings were tested for 6 fixed rule sets in the declared grid. The maximum is proven only within that finite historical grid. Full and recent-period results were used to select finalists, so those returns are in-sample. No global maximum across all possible strategies has been established. Corporate-action adjustments remain incomplete.

Verified finite search

Does the winner survive small changes?

Grid maximum NAV৳443,253
Nearby profitable settings25/25
Neighbour median NAV৳376,531
One extra session delay৳260,512

Stops and maximum holding periods varied by ±10% and ±20%. 25/25 nearby settings also had positive recent stress returns. Nearby full-history NAV ranged from ৳262,794 to ৳443,253. This is parameter sensitivity on the same historical data, not independent validation.

1× modeled trading costs৳443,253
1.5× modeled trading costs৳408,239
2× modeled trading costs৳377,450
3× modeled trading costs৳322,271

1,105,920 grid accounts and 352 detailed finalist ledgers checked. Reconciliation failures: 0.

Choose profit with more trades

Jump to the highest historical NAV that meets a minimum completed-position count. The saved frontier covers this trade-off.

Profit versus completed positions

Each dot is a finalist. Horizontal = full-history completed positions; vertical = full-history net return. Select a dot to inspect it.

0% return343.3% net return0 positions465 positions

Teal: positive recent stress return. Rose: zero or negative recent stress return.

The trade count–profit frontier

These 72 grid candidates cannot be beaten on both historical NAV and completed positions by another grid candidate. More positions often reduce profit.

Compare every trade-off and open its fills
Completed positionsFull-history NAVRecent stress NAVInspect
465৳479৳19,237Rules & trades →
459৳570৳19,289Rules & trades →
455৳608৳30,525Rules & trades →
454৳696৳29,045Rules & trades →
452৳696৳19,289Rules & trades →
415৳713৳19,289Rules & trades →
411৳717৳19,289Rules & trades →
405৳1,133৳19,289Rules & trades →
404৳1,549৳19,289Rules & trades →
402৳1,771৳19,289Rules & trades →
372৳2,015৳19,289Rules & trades →
371৳2,622৳19,289Rules & trades →
363৳2,910৳19,289Rules & trades →
343৳2,924৳20,089Rules & trades →
335৳3,181৳47,792Rules & trades →
333৳4,607৳37,882Rules & trades →
329৳5,476৳37,882Rules & trades →
313৳5,574৳30,360Rules & trades →
310৳6,173৳43,102Rules & trades →
303৳8,989৳39,010Rules & trades →
300৳9,801৳38,916Rules & trades →
295৳12,981৳32,156Rules & trades →
292৳13,676৳41,873Rules & trades →
260৳13,883৳26,610Rules & trades →
259৳15,710৳26,610Rules & trades →
257৳15,781৳30,307Rules & trades →
256৳16,033৳45,581Rules & trades →
255৳19,080৳30,307Rules & trades →
208৳20,877৳36,159Rules & trades →
198৳22,131৳53,195Rules & trades →
196৳25,143৳33,095Rules & trades →
187৳33,566৳58,245Rules & trades →
186৳34,489৳53,071Rules & trades →
167৳35,171৳40,802Rules & trades →
165৳37,440৳37,845Rules & trades →
161৳42,263৳74,918Rules & trades →
158৳44,043৳78,126Rules & trades →
157৳53,519৳74,918Rules & trades →
154৳56,264৳44,128Rules & trades →
153৳62,778৳49,942Rules & trades →
147৳65,022৳64,084Rules & trades →
137৳73,649৳47,943Rules & trades →
136৳78,632৳50,001Rules & trades →
135৳80,826৳50,473Rules & trades →
129৳99,944৳52,622Rules & trades →
128৳100,941৳52,622Rules & trades →
119৳100,995৳43,038Rules & trades →
118৳101,946৳46,575Rules & trades →
117৳110,155৳49,557Rules & trades →
103৳133,375৳48,996Rules & trades →
102৳136,102৳55,284Rules & trades →
101৳138,379৳53,456Rules & trades →
98৳145,520৳54,043Rules & trades →
79৳150,242৳115,900Rules & trades →
78৳159,180৳120,816Rules & trades →
77৳160,935৳120,816Rules & trades →
76৳161,019৳120,816Rules & trades →
74৳181,538৳116,988Rules & trades →
73৳199,142৳121,853Rules & trades →
60৳200,452৳118,366Rules & trades →
48৳211,201৳128,871Rules & trades →
44৳221,072৳119,591Rules & trades →
39৳242,605৳130,354Rules & trades →
38৳272,593৳130,354Rules & trades →
37৳278,807৳126,439Rules & trades →
33৳291,973৳126,422Rules & trades →
32৳298,043৳122,630Rules & trades →
25৳341,394৳127,207Rules & trades →
24৳389,702৳129,084Rules & trades →
22৳402,891৳133,960Rules & trades →
17৳411,464৳119,509Rules & trades →
15৳443,253৳124,915Rules & trades →

#86 · Kalman milestone + Flow: NVI + Flow: Signed imbalance

Full-history NAV৳207,123

Net return 107.1% · drawdown 32.6% · 40 closed positions

2024 onward NAV৳132,512

Net return 32.5% · drawdown 16.9% · 5 closed positions

2024 stress NAV৳128,108

Net return 28.1% · drawdown 19.1% · 4 closed positions

Variant 1; fixed stop 4.0%; maximum 120 sessions; gate None; continuous signal; exit stop/time only; trailing arms at 18.0%, distance 6.0%; partial sale at 0.0% (0 = off).

Account reconciliation

Cash৳207,123
Unsettled৳0
Holdings৳0
NAV৳207,123
Realized P&L৳107,123
Unrealized P&L৳0
Fees৳52,382
Friction৳25,169

NAV = cash + unsettled proceeds + marked holdings. Maximum reconciliation error: ৳1.16e-10. Normal replay: 0.44% commission plus 0.2% base friction per side, modeled impact and T+3. Stress doubles commission/base friction and uses T+5. These are research assumptions.

All fills for finalist #86

80 fills, including partial sales. Page 1.

DateSideSharesPriceFeesFrictionCash flowRealized P&L
2010-12-23BUY376263.8436.43199.91-99,825.140
2010-12-28SELL376251.9416.74190.6494,107.02-5,718.12
2011-07-04BUY577162.1411.54191.14-94,134.380
2011-07-25SELL577205.6521.98239.58117,869.6423,735.26
2011-10-30BUY755155.2515.57240.71-117,932.290
2011-11-15SELL755147.3489.33227.55110,494.62-7,437.67
2011-11-20BUY659166.6483.07224.22-110,496.70
2011-11-27SELL659157.7457.27211.03103,256-7,240.69
2012-03-20BUY594172.8451.63209.58-103,304.410
2012-04-29SELL594213.2557.22255.39125,828.222,523.79
2012-11-01BUY717174.2549.57262.9-125,713.860
2012-11-06SELL717168.4531.27254.7119,956.83-5,757.03
2013-02-07BUY701170.1524.66255.15-120,019.90
2013-02-25SELL701150.6464.51219.93104,886.16-15,133.75
2013-05-15BUY674154.7458.78235.57-104,962.150
2013-06-09SELL674176.5523.43248.08118,189.4913,227.34
2013-06-12BUY659178.1516.42243.23-118,127.550
2013-07-14SELL659211.5613.27283.74138,481.520,353.94
2013-07-18BUY712193.1604.94278.04-138,370.180
2013-07-23SELL712175548.24251.38123,800.38-14,569.81
2013-08-22BUY605203.4541.45249.88-123,848.330
2013-08-27SELL605209.8558.49258.32126,112.192,263.85
2013-09-02BUY584214.7551.69254.39-126,190.890
2013-09-09SELL584204.3524.97241.35118,544.88-7,646
2013-10-31BUY613192517.86250.92-118,464.780
2014-04-16SELL613255.68689.62318.72155,723.537,258.71
2014-04-27BUY582265.8680.66313.06-155,689.320
2014-05-22SELL582255.17653.43301.46147,552.89-8,136.43
2014-06-05BUY513285.9645.33298.9-147,610.940
2014-08-21SELL513329.38743.47342.41167,884.0120,273.08
2014-09-16BUY482345.7733.16339.54-167,700.10
2014-09-30SELL482381.9809.93374.7182,891.1715,191.07
2015-02-12BUY516352.5800.32385.05-183,075.370
2015-02-22SELL516333.1756.27361.78170,761.55-12,313.82
2015-03-29BUY487348745.69353.23-170,574.920
2015-04-20SELL487334.08715.87334.68161,646.41-8,928.51
2015-12-02BUY593271.1707.35353.94-161,823.590
2015-12-07SELL593260.26679.06336.27153,316.48-8,507.11
2016-01-19BUY578263.3669.62341.97-153,1990
2016-03-02SELL578244.1620.8303.85140,165.15-13,033.85
2016-04-25BUY557250612.7316.22-140,178.920
2016-10-30SELL557277678.87332.85153,277.2813,098.36
2016-11-21BUY531287.1670.78323.39-153,444.270
2017-04-18SELL531331.73775.04371.21175,000.2621,555.98
2017-07-05BUY489355763.82366.5-174,725.320
2017-07-10SELL489340731.54346.09165,182.37-9,542.95
2017-07-16BUY450365.1722.9338.07-165,355.970
2017-09-18SELL450408.9809.62382.08182,813.317,457.33
2018-01-24BUY360503.8798.02375.64-182,541.660
2018-02-22SELL360483.65766.1357.08172,990.11-9,551.55
2018-04-22BUY351490756.76363.01-173,109.770
2018-04-25SELL351470.4726.49346.02164,037.89-9,071.87
2018-09-09BUY425384718.08346.73-164,264.810
2018-09-16SELL425368.64689.36334.6155,648.04-8,616.76
2018-10-28BUY403383679.14327.07-155,355.20
2018-11-14SELL403367.68651.97318.56147,204.51-8,150.7
2019-01-01BUY396370644.69320.5-147,485.180
2019-05-07SELL396355.2618.9294.4139,745.9-7,739.28
2019-09-24BUY381363.9610.04290.16-139,546.10
2019-10-01SELL381349.34585.64276.31132,238.11-7,307.99
2020-07-22BUY534246.5579.18279.55-132,489.730
2020-08-18SELL534280.12658.17306.71148,619.216,129.47
2020-08-25BUY489301.7649.14301.74-148,482.180
2020-12-21SELL489336.43723.85348.51163,439.9514,957.77
2021-05-25BUY476341.1714.4350.53-163,428.530
2021-11-28SELL476360753.98399.69170,206.336,777.8
2022-01-13BUY474357.1744.77378.49-170,388.660
2022-02-27SELL474345719.53368.02162,442.44-7,946.22
2022-04-27BUY494326.4709.46368.58-162,319.640
2022-05-12SELL494313.34681.08339.51153,771.34-8,548.3
2024-06-27BUY647236.2672.41353.75-153,847.560
2024-08-15SELL6473811,084.63505.37244,91791,069.44
2024-08-20BUY6893531,070.15494.91-244,782.070
2024-08-25SELL6893541,073.19494.93242,337.88-2,444.18
2025-12-02BUY221279271.3138.58-62,068.880
2025-12-11SELL221267.84260.45128.9658,803.23-3,265.65
2026-02-01BUY889267.11,044.79543.83-239,040.520
2026-03-05SELL889245.3959.52478.66216,633.53-22,407
2026-06-11BUY730251806.21423.81-184,460.020
2026-09-08SELL730240.96773.96401.88174,724.96-9,735.06