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Experiment log · GP

Searching for profit that survives costs

1,105,920 unique configurations in this batch; 352 finalists received full and recent stress replays. Starting cash: ৳100,000. Data through 2026-10-13. Compute: local connected computer.

Full historical period: 2009-11-16 → 2026-10-13 (16.9 years). Selected finalist annualized return: 4.2%. This annualized figure describes the historical raw-price simulation.

All settings were tested for 6 fixed rule sets in the declared grid. The maximum is proven only within that finite historical grid. Full and recent-period results were used to select finalists, so those returns are in-sample. No global maximum across all possible strategies has been established. Corporate-action adjustments remain incomplete.

Verified finite search

Does the winner survive small changes?

Grid maximum NAV৳443,253
Nearby profitable settings25/25
Neighbour median NAV৳376,531
One extra session delay৳260,512

Stops and maximum holding periods varied by ±10% and ±20%. 25/25 nearby settings also had positive recent stress returns. Nearby full-history NAV ranged from ৳262,794 to ৳443,253. This is parameter sensitivity on the same historical data, not independent validation.

1× modeled trading costs৳443,253
1.5× modeled trading costs৳408,239
2× modeled trading costs৳377,450
3× modeled trading costs৳322,271

1,105,920 grid accounts and 352 detailed finalist ledgers checked. Reconciliation failures: 0.

Choose profit with more trades

Jump to the highest historical NAV that meets a minimum completed-position count. The saved frontier covers this trade-off.

Profit versus completed positions

Each dot is a finalist. Horizontal = full-history completed positions; vertical = full-history net return. Select a dot to inspect it.

0% return343.3% net return0 positions465 positions

Teal: positive recent stress return. Rose: zero or negative recent stress return.

The trade count–profit frontier

These 72 grid candidates cannot be beaten on both historical NAV and completed positions by another grid candidate. More positions often reduce profit.

Compare every trade-off and open its fills
Completed positionsFull-history NAVRecent stress NAVInspect
465৳479৳19,237Rules & trades →
459৳570৳19,289Rules & trades →
455৳608৳30,525Rules & trades →
454৳696৳29,045Rules & trades →
452৳696৳19,289Rules & trades →
415৳713৳19,289Rules & trades →
411৳717৳19,289Rules & trades →
405৳1,133৳19,289Rules & trades →
404৳1,549৳19,289Rules & trades →
402৳1,771৳19,289Rules & trades →
372৳2,015৳19,289Rules & trades →
371৳2,622৳19,289Rules & trades →
363৳2,910৳19,289Rules & trades →
343৳2,924৳20,089Rules & trades →
335৳3,181৳47,792Rules & trades →
333৳4,607৳37,882Rules & trades →
329৳5,476৳37,882Rules & trades →
313৳5,574৳30,360Rules & trades →
310৳6,173৳43,102Rules & trades →
303৳8,989৳39,010Rules & trades →
300৳9,801৳38,916Rules & trades →
295৳12,981৳32,156Rules & trades →
292৳13,676৳41,873Rules & trades →
260৳13,883৳26,610Rules & trades →
259৳15,710৳26,610Rules & trades →
257৳15,781৳30,307Rules & trades →
256৳16,033৳45,581Rules & trades →
255৳19,080৳30,307Rules & trades →
208৳20,877৳36,159Rules & trades →
198৳22,131৳53,195Rules & trades →
196৳25,143৳33,095Rules & trades →
187৳33,566৳58,245Rules & trades →
186৳34,489৳53,071Rules & trades →
167৳35,171৳40,802Rules & trades →
165৳37,440৳37,845Rules & trades →
161৳42,263৳74,918Rules & trades →
158৳44,043৳78,126Rules & trades →
157৳53,519৳74,918Rules & trades →
154৳56,264৳44,128Rules & trades →
153৳62,778৳49,942Rules & trades →
147৳65,022৳64,084Rules & trades →
137৳73,649৳47,943Rules & trades →
136৳78,632৳50,001Rules & trades →
135৳80,826৳50,473Rules & trades →
129৳99,944৳52,622Rules & trades →
128৳100,941৳52,622Rules & trades →
119৳100,995৳43,038Rules & trades →
118৳101,946৳46,575Rules & trades →
117৳110,155৳49,557Rules & trades →
103৳133,375৳48,996Rules & trades →
102৳136,102৳55,284Rules & trades →
101৳138,379৳53,456Rules & trades →
98৳145,520৳54,043Rules & trades →
79৳150,242৳115,900Rules & trades →
78৳159,180৳120,816Rules & trades →
77৳160,935৳120,816Rules & trades →
76৳161,019৳120,816Rules & trades →
74৳181,538৳116,988Rules & trades →
73৳199,142৳121,853Rules & trades →
60৳200,452৳118,366Rules & trades →
48৳211,201৳128,871Rules & trades →
44৳221,072৳119,591Rules & trades →
39৳242,605৳130,354Rules & trades →
38৳272,593৳130,354Rules & trades →
37৳278,807৳126,439Rules & trades →
33৳291,973৳126,422Rules & trades →
32৳298,043৳122,630Rules & trades →
25৳341,394৳127,207Rules & trades →
24৳389,702৳129,084Rules & trades →
22৳402,891৳133,960Rules & trades →
17৳411,464৳119,509Rules & trades →
15৳443,253৳124,915Rules & trades →

#98 · Kalman milestone + Flow: NVI + Flow: Signed imbalance

Full-history NAV৳199,142

Net return 99.1% · drawdown 32.9% · 73 closed positions

2024 onward NAV৳141,705

Net return 41.7% · drawdown 9.8% · 8 closed positions

2024 stress NAV৳121,853

Net return 21.9% · drawdown 20.4% · 8 closed positions

Variant 0; fixed stop 8.0%; maximum 15 sessions; gate EMA 50; continuous signal; exit any bearish; trailing arms at 18.0%, distance 6.0%; partial sale at 0.0% (0 = off).

Account reconciliation

Cash৳199,142
Unsettled৳0
Holdings৳0
NAV৳199,142
Realized P&L৳99,142
Unrealized P&L৳0
Fees৳94,065
Friction৳45,152

NAV = cash + unsettled proceeds + marked holdings. Maximum reconciliation error: ৳1.16e-10. Normal replay: 0.44% commission plus 0.2% base friction per side, modeled impact and T+3. Stress doubles commission/base friction and uses T+5. These are research assumptions.

All fills for finalist #98

146 fills, including partial sales. Page 1.

DateSideSharesPriceFeesFrictionCash flowRealized P&L
2010-12-23BUY376263.8436.43199.91-99,825.140
2010-12-28SELL376251.9416.74190.6494,107.02-5,718.12
2011-07-04BUY577162.1411.54191.14-94,134.380
2011-07-25SELL577205.6521.98239.58117,869.6423,735.26
2011-08-01BUY645181.6515.38236.07-117,883.450
2011-08-04SELL645178.5506.58232.03114,393.89-3,489.56
2011-10-30BUY733155.2500.55233.52-114,495.670
2011-11-17SELL733162.9525.39244.55118,635.774,140.1
2011-11-23BUY720163.7518.6240.23-118,622.830
2011-12-05SELL720157.7499.59231.76112,812.65-5,810.18
2011-12-29BUY685163.5492.79233.04-112,723.330
2012-01-12SELL685174.7526.55244.3118,898.656,175.32
2012-03-20BUY684172.8520.06242.08-118,957.340
2012-04-04SELL684185.5558.28257.85126,065.877,108.53
2012-04-09BUY639195.9550.79253.92-125,984.810
2012-04-30SELL639214.7603.65276.85136,312.810,327.99
2012-06-10BUY663204.4596.28280.12-136,393.60
2012-06-13SELL663203.3593.07278.99133,915.84-2,477.76
2012-11-01BUY764174.2585.59281.04-133,955.430
2012-11-06SELL764168.4566.09272.32127,819.19-6,136.25
2012-11-19BUY738172.1558.84266.69-127,835.330
2012-11-22SELL738169.1549.1261.25123,985.45-3,849.88
2013-02-06BUY712172.8541.35264.81-123,839.750
2013-02-13SELL712166.6521.92250.18117,847.09-5,992.66
2013-05-15BUY757154.7515.27268.32-117,891.50
2013-06-06SELL757187.8625.52301.86141,237.2223,345.72
2013-06-11BUY769182.5617.51293.21-141,253.220
2013-06-17SELL769177.8601.6284.6135,841.99-5,411.22
2013-06-30BUY755178.9594.31278.25-135,942.060
2013-07-07SELL755187.4622.54291.19140,573.274,631.21
2013-07-14BUY660211.5614.2284.18-140,488.370
2013-07-17SELL660232.5675.18311.09152,463.7311,975.35
2013-08-22BUY745203.4666.75308.78-152,508.530
2013-09-08SELL745210.9691.33319.15156,110.023,601.49
2013-11-05BUY797194.6682.42333.7-156,112.320
2013-11-20SELL797215.3755.01358.91170,480.1714,367.85
2013-11-26BUY847200745.36349.83-170,495.190
2013-12-01SELL847200.5747.22350.07168,726.2-1,768.99
2014-01-09BUY803208.7737.38355.1-168,678.580
2014-01-22SELL803208.7737.38353.28166,495.44-2,183.14
2014-01-27BUY775213.4727.69345.88-166,458.570
2014-02-06SELL775210716.1337.62161,696.28-4,762.29
2014-03-03BUY729220.3706.63330.8-161,636.130
2014-03-19SELL729211.3677.77316.85153,043.08-8,593.05
2014-04-09BUY614247.9669.73311.18-153,191.510
2014-04-30SELL614268.9726.46334.13164,044.0110,852.5
2014-05-07BUY589276.4716.32329.36-163,845.280
2014-05-12SELL589270.5701.03322.71158,300.77-5,544.52
2014-06-05BUY550285.9691.88320.89-158,257.770
2014-06-10SELL550286.3692.85321.78156,450.37-1,807.4
2014-06-16BUY509305.4683.97316.53-156,449.110
2014-06-19SELL509300.1672.1310.66151,768.14-4,680.97
2014-08-04BUY486310.8664.61308.57-152,021.990
2014-08-25SELL486326.8698.83321.48157,804.495,782.51
2014-09-16BUY453345.7689.05318.76-157,609.90
2014-09-30SELL453381.9761.2351.78171,887.7214,277.81
2015-01-12BUY480355.9751.66362.5-171,946.160
2015-01-15SELL480360760.32369.19171,670.49-275.67
2015-02-12BUY484352.5750.68359.94-171,720.620
2015-02-22SELL484333.1709.37338.3160,172.73-11,547.89
2015-03-29BUY457348699.76330.64-160,066.40
2015-04-02SELL457353709.81332.07160,279.12212.72
2015-12-02BUY588271.1701.39350.68-160,458.870
2015-12-09SELL588257.6666.46326.96150,475.38-9,983.49
2016-01-18BUY576259.5657.68336.77-150,466.440
2016-01-21SELL576269.8683.78340.41154,380.613,914.17
2016-04-24BUY616248.6673.81353.97-154,165.370
2016-05-02SELL616245664.05338.75149,917.2-4,248.18
2016-05-11BUY500252.1554.62275-126,879.620
2016-05-16SELL500252554.4274.43125,171.17-1,708.45
2016-05-24BUY574256.7648.32326.09-148,320.210
2016-05-29SELL574255.2644.53326.12145,514.15-2,806.06
2016-10-25BUY507285635.78311.29-145,442.070
2016-10-30SELL507277617.93300.99139,520.08-5,921.99
2016-11-06BUY457279.9562.82272.65-128,749.770
2016-11-09SELL457281.3565.64272.45127,716.01-1,033.76
2016-11-21BUY479287.1605.09290.09-138,416.080
2016-12-01SELL479283.9598.35284.09135,105.66-3,310.42
2017-07-05BUY378355590.44279.92-135,060.360
2017-07-10SELL378340565.49265.15127,689.36-7,370.99
2017-07-13BUY358354.8558.88261.23-127,838.510
2017-08-06SELL358373.2587.86272.05132,745.684,907.17
2017-08-13BUY346381.6580.95269.38-132,883.920
2017-08-20SELL346391.6596.17277.82134,619.611,735.68
2017-09-10BUY327408587.03275.95-134,278.980
2017-09-13SELL327415597.1279.38134,828.52549.53
2017-11-13BUY284472.9590.94276.33-135,170.870
2017-11-16SELL284484604.81280.85136,570.351,399.48
2017-11-23BUY281483597.18276.77-136,596.950
2017-11-28SELL281471582.34269.77131,498.89-5,098.06
2018-01-23BUY263496573.97268.61-131,290.580
2018-02-01SELL263504583.23270.29131,698.48407.9
2018-04-19BUY265493574.84272.12-131,491.960
2018-04-24SELL265485565.51266.27127,693.22-3,798.74
2018-10-28BUY332383559.49266.78-127,982.260
2018-10-31SELL332380.5555.83264.8125,505.37-2,476.9
2019-01-01BUY337370548.64269.26-125,507.90
2019-01-22SELL337384569.4269.86128,568.743,060.84
2019-01-27BUY322397562.47264.89-128,661.360
2019-01-30SELL322414.4587.12274.21132,575.473,914.1