Plan V2 Section 2 & 9 Compliant Evidence Hub

Quantitative Strategy Research Hub

Permanent factsheets, empirical verification, audited 0.40% brokerage friction, and real-world regulatory risk disclosures.

Core Methodology & Release Gate Standards
Plan V2 Release Gates
1

Audited Market Friction (0.40% Fee)

Every backtest, simulation, and model execution strictly accounts for a 0.40% round-trip brokerage commission. Gross theoretical gains are never presented as net trader profits.

2

Zero Invented Confidence

An indicator reading of 85/100 is an indicator level, not an 85% probability of gain. We never fabricate artificial win percentages or confuse historical backfits with future guarantees.

3

Regulatory Floor Price Realism

BSEC floor price pegs and liquidity freezes are explicitly modeled and disclosed. Models that assume infinite exit liquidity during regulatory freezes are rejected at the release gate.

4

Release Gate Verification

All quantitative strategies must pass chronological out-of-sample evaluation, drawdown stress tests, sensitivity to increased friction, and forward paper tracking before publication.

Quantitative Performance Comparison
Audited Friction: 0.40% round-trip commission deducted
Strategy & VersionWin RateSharpeMax DDHorizonTotal TradesConsistencyFrictionFactsheet
Peak Strategy & Discrete Kalman Velocity Engine
v5.2-HPC • Audited & Empirical
51.29%1.64-18.42%90d21,18410/12 yrs-0.40%Factsheet
7-Agent Institutional Stacking Consensus
v4.0-Ensemble • Production Ensemble
64.80%1.82-12.30%30d3,4205/5 yrs-0.40%Factsheet
Multi-Timeframe EMA Dynamic Grid
v3.1-Grid • Systematic Benchmark
44.75%1.18-23.10%45d14,8308/12 yrs-0.40%Factsheet
Volume Surge & Operator Stage Detection
v2.8-Microstructure • Microstructure Engine
54.60%1.45-16.80%25d8,9207/9 yrs-0.40%Factsheet
Permanent Strategy Factsheets
v5.2-HPCAudited & Empirical

Peak Strategy & Discrete Kalman Velocity Engine

Milestone-Activated Trailing Stop with 10-State Kalman Velocity Smoothing

Win Rate
51.29%
Sharpe
1.64
Horizon
90d
Hypothesis: DSE equity returns are dominated by multi-week operator accumulation and markup cycles that regular moving averages misinterpret as chop. Filtering daily close prices through a discrete Kalman velocity state estimator ($V_k > 0$) accurately identifies genuine institutional velocity while eliminating false retail whipsaws. Allowing winning positions to breathe up to 90 trading days maximizes compound capture.
10 of 12 yrs profitable
View Factsheet
v4.0-EnsembleProduction Ensemble

7-Agent Institutional Stacking Consensus

Non-Correlated Multi-Agent Decision Stack with TimesFM 30D Foundation Model

Win Rate
64.80%
Sharpe
1.82
Horizon
30d
Hypothesis: Individual technical or fundamental signals have high correlation with retail panic on the DSE. Combining 6 distinct, mathematically orthogonal analytical agents with independent weighting and a dedicated truth-calibration feedback loop creates an ensemble whose predictive accuracy significantly exceeds any individual constituent indicator.
5 of 5 yrs profitable
View Factsheet
v3.1-GridSystematic Benchmark

Multi-Timeframe EMA Dynamic Grid

Confluent 9 EMA / 21 EMA / 50 SMA Trend Filter Grid

Win Rate
44.75%
Sharpe
1.18
Horizon
45d
Hypothesis: A fast exponential moving average (9 EMA) crossing above a medium baseline (21 EMA) only exhibits statistical edge when the underlying asset is confirmed to be trading in an institutional macro bull regime (Price > 50 SMA) and supported by above-average volume turnover.
8 of 12 yrs profitable
View Factsheet
v2.8-MicrostructureMicrostructure Engine

Volume Surge & Operator Stage Detection

Observable Volume Surges (>1.5x 20d), Price Expansion & CMF Accumulation

Win Rate
54.60%
Sharpe
1.45
Horizon
25d
Hypothesis: Large institutional accumulation leaves an undeniable physical footprint in the order book: volume multiples jump over 1.5x prior averages, closing prices print in the upper half of the daily candle (CMF > 0), and price volatility expands. Entering at Stage 1 (Stealth Accumulation) or early Stage 2 (Initial Uplifting) yields high risk-to-reward ratios before general retail participation.
7 of 9 yrs profitable
View Factsheet
DSE Microstructure & Regulatory Regime Notice

Historical backtests evaluate past price actions and simulate 0.40% round-trip brokerage commission. Past performance does not guarantee future results. The Bangladesh Securities and Exchange Commission (BSEC) periodically implements artificial price restrictions (e.g., floor prices and margin directives) that alter market liquidity dynamics. Consult registered broker-dealers before deploying actual capital.